Ben White's Iowa caucus predictions

Ben White, Chief Economic Correspondent for Politico, with his Special Iowa Caucus edition of US Politics In :60 Seconds!

So, it's finally here. Voters are actually voting, or I should say caucusing, to be more precise. So, what's going to happen?

Typically, the conventional wisdom is there's three tickets out of Iowa. I don't think that's going to be true this year. I think there's a pretty good chance that Bernie Sanders comes in first. I think that Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren will be fighting for second place. Klobuchar and Buttigieg fighting for third and fourth. But I think the result will be kind of muddled. So, I think there may actually be six tickets coming out of Iowa.

You got Sanders, Biden, Warren, Buttigieg, Klobuchar, and Yang. So, we all just move on to New Hampshire and that might not clear things up either. This is one of the more muddled Democratic fields in a long time. There are a lot of Democrats who don't want to see Sanders get the nomination. So, there'll be tons of jockeying. Then we get to Super Tuesday and then we get the Bloomberg effect. How many delegates does he get? Does he take some away from Biden? So, very important to watch Iowa tonight, see if Sanders has momentum. But even if Bernie Sanders wins, he might not win by a lot. And I don't think it's going to tell us all that much. So, we'll all just move on down the road.

More from GZERO Media

Chairman of the Michigan Republican Party Pete Hoekstra speaks during the Michigan GOP's Election Night Party.
REUTERS/Emily Elconin

Donald Trump on Wednesday tapped former Michigan congressman and Netherlands ambassadorPete Hoekstra to be US ambassador to Canada.

U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a signing ceremony for the United States-Mexico-Canada Trade Agreement (USMCA) on the South Lawn of the White House in Washington, U.S., January 29, 2020.
REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst

Donald Trump’s election win has Canadian premiers worried about the future of free trade. Trump has promised to levy across-the-board tariffs of between 10 and 20%, but it’s unclear whether Canada would be included.

Striking Canada Post workers, represented by the Canadian Union of Postal Workers (CUPW).
REUTERS/Carlos Osorio

After years of struggles with their employer, Canada Post, posties in Canada have gone on strike as the holiday season settles in.

In this photo illustration, a Google Chrome logo seen displayed on a smartphone with a Google Logo in the background.
Reuters

The Department of Justice is fighting to force Google to sell off its Chrome browser in an antitrust action against the company.

Malawi soldiers part of the Southern African Development Community (SADC) military mission for eastern Congo, wait for the ceremony to repatriate the two bodies of South African soldiers killed in the ongoing war between M23 rebels and the Congolese army in Goma, North Kivu province of the Democratic Republic of Congo February 20, 2024.
REUTERS/Arlette Bashizi

Fighters from the M23 rebel group in northeastern Congo have been targeting civilians in violation of a July ceasefire agreement, according to the Southern African Development Community, whose peacekeeping mandate was extended by a year on Wednesday.

Ari Winkleman

Donald Trump has promised a laundry list of things he will accomplish “on Day 1” in office. To name a few, he has vowed to immediately begin a mass deportation of immigrants, streamline the federal government, pardon Jan. 6 rioters, and roll back the Biden administration’s education and climate policies.