February 13, 2020
Ian Bremmer discusses the Thucydides Trap, and the history lesson Harvard professor Graham Allison brought to Trump's National Security Council in 2017: a wake-up call for American and Chinese leaders. Conflict between rival great state powers is likely - but with statecraft, war is not inevitable.
But ... White House Chief Strategist Steve Bannon saw Chinese leadership as America's greatest existential danger. As a result, he pressed a harder line with China on tariffs, AI, IP, and Hong Kong protests. If confrontation with China is inevitable, is it better to make a move early? Another question: can the Trump administration contain China without cultivating allies?
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After 16 years in power, Hungary’s Viktor Orbán has been decisively voted out, losing in a landslide to challenger Péter Magyar. But this wasn’t a shift to the left. In Quick Take, Ian Bremmer breaks down what Orbán’s defeat means for Hungary, Europe, and global politics.
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The dollar has ruled the world economy for 80 years. Yet, tariffs, debt, and political pressure are all chipping away at it. Ian Bremmer explains what it would actually take to bring it down.
The amount of time European airports have before facing jet fuel shortages if the Strait of Hormuz is not fully reopened.
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The ACI Europe, a regional airport trade group, is warning EU leaders that airports could soon face “systemic” jet fuel shortages while Iran maintains its grip over the Strait of Hormuz.
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