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​Members of law enforcement gather, as tensions rise after federal law enforcement agents were involved in a shooting incident, a week after a U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agent fatally shot Renee Nicole Good, in north Minneapolis, Minnesota, U.S., January 15, 2026.
REUTERS/Ryan Murphy

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Venezuela's President Nicolas Maduro and Special Representative of the Chinese Government on Latin American Affairs Qiu Xiaoqi in Caracas, Venezuela, on January 2, 2026.​
Analysis

Venezuela owes China money. Will Beijing see it?

Venezuela was supposed to repay its loans from China with oil. The US blockade on Venezuela’s crude industry means that Beijing won’t see any that oil it is owed – at least for the time being.

Christmas tree made of the uniforms of electricity grid workers.
Analysis

Dispatch from Kyiv, nearly four years into war

If you spend a week in Ukraine, you’ll get a long list of advice. Download the air raid app. Download the power outage app. Don’t use elevators – you’ll be trapped if the power goes out. Download the map of bomb shelters. Bring batteries and portable chargers, more than you think. Take a course on how to tie a tourniquet.

​Protesters gather as vehicles burn in Tehran, Iran, in this screen grab from a social media video released on January 9, 2026.
Analysis

Rising protests test Iran’s regime

When the protests began 12 days ago, the focus was on Iran’s dire economic conditions. Anger at the Islamic Republic itself is exacerbating them, and raising questions about the regime’s long-term legitimacy.

Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, son of Brazil's former President Jair Bolsonaro, in Brasilia, Brazil, on December 19, 2025.​
Analysis

Post-Bolsonaro, who will lead Brazil’s right?

Three years ago today, supporters of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro stormed Congress and other buildings in Brasília. With Bolsonaro in jail, though, and the election coming in October, his successor as leader of Brazil’s right is unclear.

​Supporters of the UAE-backed separatist Southern Transitional Council during a rally in Aden, Yemen, on December 30, 2025.
Analysis

Rising UAE-Saudi Arabia tensions laid bare in Yemen

The UAE and Saudi Arabia were once on the same side in Yemen, but no longer. The split has exposed a larger regional rift between the two oil-rich, Gulf powers.

Interim President Delcy Rodriguez, in green, walks out of the National Assembly in Caracas, Venezuela, on January 5, 2026.
Analysis

Dealing with Delcy: Regime change without changing the regime

Having ousted dancing strongman Nicolás Maduro, Washington has turned to his vice-president, 56-year-old Delcy Rodríguez. The Trump administration won’t necessarily have it easy with the new leader.

Where things stand with Venezuela: Washington makes its demands
Analysis

Where things stand with Venezuela: Washington makes its demands

It’s been just over 48 hours since US forces conducted a military operation in Caracas and seized Venezuelan strongman Nicolás Maduro, and the future governance of the country – and the US role in it – remains murky.

​The Guinea-flagged oil tanker MT Bandra, which is under sanctions, at El Palito terminal, near Puerto Cabello, Venezuela, on December 29, 2025.
Analysis

Geopolitical uncertainty? Oil markets no longer care

There have been several geopolitical shocks this year, yet none have stopped oil prices from plunging, showing how oil markets have become more risk tolerant.

​Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa celebrates the one-year anniversary of the fall of the Assad regime in Umayyad Square in central Damascus, on Dec. 8, 2025.
Analysis

A year after Assad’s fall, can Syria hold together?

A year ago this month, Syria’s brutal dictatorship collapsed. There are signs of recovery, but sectarian violence threatens to undermine the optimism.

US President Donald Trump speaks with Chinese President Xi Jinping at Gimhae Air Base in Gimhae, South Korea, on October 30, 2025.
Analysis

Top risks of 2025, reviewed

Here’s how Eurasia Group’s 2025 Top Risks report stacked up – where it hit the mark and where it missed.