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​Switzerland's Federal President Guy Parmelin speaks with US President Donald Trump prior to a bilateral meeting in Congress Centre on the sideline of the 56th annual meeting of the World Economic Forum, WEF, in Davos, Switzerland, Wednesday, January 21, 2026.
Analysis

Will Trump ever be satisfied?

When Donald Trump suggested early last year that the United States had set its sights on acquiring Greenland, the response from Europe was to treat the incoming president like an unconventional uncle – worthy of a chuckle and a general sentiment that this was just Trump being Trump.

​Russian President Vladimir Putin during a news conference in Moscow, Russia, on December 22, 2022.
Analysis

The strange silence of Vladimir Putin

The Russian president said little when the US seized Venezuelan strongman Nicolás Maduro, an ally of Moscow. But there might be a reason for his silence.

​Members of law enforcement gather, as tensions rise after federal law enforcement agents were involved in a shooting incident, a week after a U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agent fatally shot Renee Nicole Good, in north Minneapolis, Minnesota, U.S., January 15, 2026.
Analysis

A tale of two protests

This last week has provided a distillation of US President Donald Trump’s view on how American military might should be deployed at home and abroad.

Will Iran’s protests bring down the regime?
by ian bremmer

Will Iran’s protests bring down the regime?

For over two weeks now, Iranians have been pouring into the streets in the largest demonstrations the country has seen since the 2022 “Women, Life, Freedom” uprising, and possibly since the 2009 Green Movement.

​Supporters of Uganda's President Yoweri Museveni, leader of the ruling National Resistance Movement (NRM) party, attend his final rally ahead of the general election in Kampala, Uganda, January 13, 2026.
Analysis

Uganda’s “new breed” of leadership gets old

Ugandans go to the polls tomorrow in an election where President Yoweri Museveni is widely expected to be reelected, as authorities crack down on political dissent.

Venezuela's President Nicolas Maduro and Special Representative of the Chinese Government on Latin American Affairs Qiu Xiaoqi in Caracas, Venezuela, on January 2, 2026.​
Analysis

Venezuela owes China money. Will Beijing see it?

Venezuela was supposed to repay its loans from China with oil. The US blockade on Venezuela’s crude industry means that Beijing won’t see any that oil it is owed – at least for the time being.

Christmas tree made of the uniforms of electricity grid workers.
Analysis

Dispatch from Kyiv, nearly four years into war

If you spend a week in Ukraine, you’ll get a long list of advice. Download the air raid app. Download the power outage app. Don’t use elevators – you’ll be trapped if the power goes out. Download the map of bomb shelters. Bring batteries and portable chargers, more than you think. Take a course on how to tie a tourniquet.

​Protesters gather as vehicles burn in Tehran, Iran, in this screen grab from a social media video released on January 9, 2026.
Analysis

Rising protests test Iran’s regime

When the protests began 12 days ago, the focus was on Iran’s dire economic conditions. Anger at the Islamic Republic itself is exacerbating them, and raising questions about the regime’s long-term legitimacy.

Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, son of Brazil's former President Jair Bolsonaro, in Brasilia, Brazil, on December 19, 2025.​
Analysis

Post-Bolsonaro, who will lead Brazil’s right?

Three years ago today, supporters of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro stormed Congress and other buildings in Brasília. With Bolsonaro in jail, though, and the election coming in October, his successor as leader of Brazil’s right is unclear.

​Donald Trump as a giant hitting Venezuela with a stick.
by ian bremmer

America built the global order. Now it's tearing it down.

2026 is a tipping point year. The biggest source of global instability won’t be China, Russia, Iran, or the ~60 conflicts burning across the planet – the most since World War II. It will be the United States.