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A woman walks past a billboard, displaying portraits of Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin and Deputy Chairman of the State Duma Pyotr Tolstoy and promoting the United Russia party ahead of the upcoming parliamentary election, near the Moscow International Business Centre in Moscow, Russia.
REUTERS/Ramil Sitdikov

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Illustration of the Polymarket website and logo. Polymarket is an online betting platform where users can bet on various global events, including political outcomes. Often a source of controversy, the site is banned in France, but this does not prevent a dozen bets from being placed on French current affairs.
Analysis

Are prediction markets the new polls?

As Americans head toward November’s midterms, the boom of apps like Polymarket and Kalshi is raising a bigger question: can prediction markets rival – even replace – traditional polling?

All we’ve lost
Analysis

All we’ve lost

In our city, in Washington, and across the nation, it felt like everyone had rallied to everyone else. It didn’t last, of course, but it happened. Twenty-five years later, I remember so well how it felt.

How China, BRICS, and a new balance of power emerged from 9/11’s shadow
Analysis

How China, BRICS, and a new balance of power emerged from 9/11’s shadow

Some of the most consequential changes of the post-9/11 era began quietly, far from the battlefields of the war on terror.

The cascading consequences of 9/11 for America and the Middle East
Analysis

The cascading consequences of 9/11 for America and the Middle East

Osama bin Laden was killed and al-Qaeda dismantled, but the wars he provoked left the Middle East less stable and America’s standing in the region diminished.

The last time America watched together
Analysis

The last time America watched together

September 11 transformed what Americans watched, how journalists covered the world, and ultimately whom the public trusted to tell them about it.

School items belonging to abducted students of Baptist Nursery and Primary School sit inside an empty classroom in Oyo State, Nigeria.
Analysis

Nigeria’s economic gains collide with a kidnapping boom

Kidnapping has become big business – with consequences for investment, poverty, and Tinubu’s political future.

The Strait Escape | Six months into the Iran war, oil exporters are finding ways to bypass Hormuz | image shows a map with arrows and location hotspots depicting ways exporters are bypassing the Strait of Hormuz
Analysis

The Strait Escape

Six months into the Iran war, oil exporters are finding ways to bypass Hormuz.

Office of the United Nations in Geneva, second headquarters of the UN
Analysis

The UN’s “major donor syndrome”

A significant part of the UN’s funding problem comes down to a very small number of countries. Just two members – the US and China – account for 42% of the UN’s regular budget.

U.S. President Donald Trump and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney meet in the Oval Office at the White House in Washington, D.C.
Analysis

The Great North American trade war

It’s official: the US and Canada are in a trade war, a remarkable rupture in one of the world’s closest alliances.

A man votes at a polling station in South Carolina's Democratic presidential primary in Columbia.
Analysis

Progressives are rising, but Black voters aren’t sold

The left is ascendant in Democratic politics, but a crucial part of the party’s base isn’t moving with it.

A staff member holds a dummy as staff and customers take shelter at a storage room, during an air raid exercise at a PX Mart supermarket as part of the civil defence drills in Taipei, Taiwan
Analysis

The rise of the citizen soldier

As the line between the battlefield and everyday life blurs, countries are increasingly preparing civilians for the next war.