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Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, son of Brazil's former President Jair Bolsonaro, in Brasilia, Brazil, on December 19, 2025.​
REUTERS/Adriano Machado
Analysis

Post-Bolsonaro, who will lead Brazil’s right?

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Last Thursday, Brazil’s Supreme Court delivered a historic verdict: Jair Bolsonaro, the far-right former president who tried to overturn the 2022 election, was convicted along with seven close allies for conspiring against democracy and plotting to assassinate his rivals, including President Lula. Bolsonaro was sentenced to 27 years in prison and barred from office until 2060. At 70, he will likely spend his remaining years behind bars.
Last Thursday, Brazil’s Supreme Court delivered a historic verdict: Jair Bolsonaro, the far-right former president who tried to overturn the 2022 election.
by ian bremmer

Despite conviction, Bolsonaro’s shadow looms over Brazilian politics

Where things stand with Venezuela: Washington makes its demands
Analysis

Where things stand with Venezuela: Washington makes its demands

US President Donald Trump speaks with Chinese President Xi Jinping at Gimhae Air Base in Gimhae, South Korea, on October 30, 2025.
Yonhap News/POOL/Handout via Sipa USA
Analysis

Top risks of 2025, reviewed

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​The Guinea-flagged oil tanker MT Bandra, which is under sanctions, at El Palito terminal, near Puerto Cabello, Venezuela, on December 29, 2025.
REUTERS/Juan Carlos Hernandez
Analysis

Geopolitical uncertainty? Oil markets no longer care

​Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa celebrates the one-year anniversary of the fall of the Assad regime in Umayyad Square in central Damascus, on Dec. 8, 2025.
Analysis

A year after Assad’s fall, can Syria hold together?

A year ago this month, Syria’s brutal dictatorship collapsed. There are signs of recovery, but sectarian violence threatens to undermine the optimism.

US President Donald Trump announces tariffs on US trading partners at the White House in Washington, DC, USA, on April 2, 2025.
Analysis

The top geopolitical stories of 2025

From civil conflicts to trade wars to the rise of new technologies, GZERO runs through the stories that have shaped this year in geopolitics.

Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agents check the identity documents of a group of agricultural workers at a grocery store parking lot during an immigration raid in Mecca, California, U.S. December 19, 2025.
Analysis

A former immigration chief weighs in on Trump’s second act

A year into US President Donald Trump’s second term, America’s immigration policy has undergone one of its most sweeping resets in decades.

​President Donald Trump delivers an address to the nation from the Diplomatic Reception Room of the White House, in Washington, D.C., U.S. Wednesday, Dec. 17, 2025.
Analysis

Trump is at risk of falling into the Biden trap on the economy

Less than one day after US President Donald Trump declared a military blockade of sanctioned oil tankers from Venezuela, he addressed the nation during a rare primetime speech – but didn’t talk about Venezuela.

French President Emmanuel Macron, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, U.S. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and businessman Jared Kushner, along with NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte and otherEuropean leaders, pose for a group photo at the Chancellery in Berlin, Germany, December 15, 2025.
by ian bremmer

Europe’s moment of truth

The European Union just pulled off something that, a year ago, seemed politically impossible: it froze $247 billion in Russian central bank assets indefinitely, stripping the Kremlin of one of its most reliable pressure points.

​US President Donald Trump, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, French President Emmanuel Macron, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, Finland's President Alexander Stubb, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen at the White House in Washington, D.C., USA, on August 18, 2025.
Analysis

Viewpoint: Trump wants a Europe more like US

With the release of its National Security Strategy, the Trump administration has telegraphed how the US intends to engage with allies, and what it expects from them.

A family votes during the second round of Hungary's general election in Budapest, April 23, 2006. Hungarians went to the polls on Sunday with the Socialist-led government of Prime Minister Ferenc Gyurcsany looking set to make history by becoming the first to retain power since the return of democracy in 1990.
Analysis

Six elections to watch in 2026

With the year's end fast approaching, it's time to look ahead to the elections that could reshuffle global power dynamics in 2026. Here are a few you should keep an eye on.

An ally under suspicion
Analysis

An ally under suspicion

In an unprecedented move last week, Denmark labeled its ally the United States as a potential security risk.

​Then-US President George W. Bush with then-People's Republic of China President Jiang Zemin following their meeting at Bush's ranch in Crawford, Texas, on October 25, 2002.
Analysis

How chads and China shaped our world

At the start of the 21st century, Destiny’s Child was atop the US charts, “Google” was a little known search website with a weird name, and two things happened that would shape the world we live in today.

​Miami Mayor-elect Eileen Higgins points as she thanks her staff and supporters on the night of the general election, on Tuesday, Nov. 4, 2025.
Analysis

Republicans lose on Trump’s home turf again

A Democrat won Miami’s mayoral race for the first time in nearly 30 years. The Republican defeat will ring some alarms for the party – and their support among Latino voters.