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Revisiting the top geopolitical risks of 2025
ask ian

Revisiting the top geopolitical risks of 2025

Before turning to Top Risks 2026, Ian Bremmer looks back at how this year’s Top Risks 2025 actually performed.

US President Donald Trump speaks with Chinese President Xi Jinping at Gimhae Air Base in Gimhae, South Korea, on October 30, 2025.
Analysis

Top risks of 2025, reviewed

Here’s how Eurasia Group’s 2025 Top Risks report stacked up – where it hit the mark and where it missed.

​A Boeing 737 Max 8 with Afghans on board lands at Berlin Brandenburg Airport (BER) on December 16, 2025.
Hard Numbers

Hard Numbers: Germany clears path for Afghan refugees, China’s population predicted to plummet, Brazil’s Congress seeks to cut Bolsonaro’s sentence, Nigeria appeals DRC’s World Cup eligibility

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney at the Kennedy Center in Washington, D.C., USA, on Dec. 5, 2025.
Hard Numbers

Hard Numbers: Canada’s Carney faces spelling backlash, US unemployment hits four-year high, Iran shows off its missiles, Japan-China spat means pandas are coming home

​Chief Superintendent of the police force's National Security Department Steve Li Kwai-wah speaks at the West Kowloon Magistrates' Courts building after the verdict in the national security collusion trial of pro-democracy media tycoon Jimmy Lai, in Hong Kong, China, on December 15, 2025.
Hard Numbers

Hard Numbers: Hong Kong’s Jimmy Lai faces life imprisonment, Half of Israelis oppose Netanyahu pardon, Flash floods in Morocco, Romania protests corruption

​Then-US President George W. Bush with then-People's Republic of China President Jiang Zemin following their meeting at Bush's ranch in Crawford, Texas, on October 25, 2002.
Analysis

How chads and China shaped our world

At the start of the 21st century, Destiny’s Child was atop the US charts, “Google” was a little known search website with a weird name, and two things happened that would shape the world we live in today.

Vilnius International airport, forced to shut down due to the presence of air balloons, on October 25, 2025.
What We're Watching

What We’re Watching: Balloon emergency in Eastern Europe, China neglects Trump’s chip offer, Aussie kids banned from socials

Election Commission candidates' campaign teams canvassing in permitted areas outside the polling station in Hong Kong on December 7, 2025.
Hard Numbers

Hard Numbers: Hong Kong citizens don’t want to vote, Japan-China tensions rise, Art stolen in Brazil & More

​Palestinians walk in the rain at a makeshift camp in Gaza City, on Nov. 25, 2025.
Hard Numbers

Hard Numbers: Trump admin makes temp Gaza property plan, Taiwan to boost defenses, Tragic fire in Hong Kong, Brazil’s Lula leads in poll, Saudi opens door to liquor cabinet

Is Trump’s trade strategy backfiring abroad?
ask ian

Is Trump’s trade strategy backfiring abroad?

In this “ask ian,” Ian Bremmer tackles a growing question: How is the Trump administration performing as the year wraps up?