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French President Emmanuel Macron, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, U.S. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and businessman Jared Kushner, along with NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte and otherEuropean leaders, pose for a group photo at the Chancellery in Berlin, Germany, December 15, 2025.
by ian bremmer

Europe’s moment of truth

The European Union just pulled off something that, a year ago, seemed politically impossible: it froze $247 billion in Russian central bank assets indefinitely, stripping the Kremlin of one of its most reliable pressure points.

Mercosur free trade agreement, in Strasbourg, France, December 17, 2025.
What We're Watching

What We’re Watching: EU-Mercosur trade deal faces now-or-2028 vote, Trump plans to surround Venezuela, US wants Pakistan to offer Gaza peacekeeping forces

The trade deal between the European Union and South America’s Mercosur bloc is on the chopping block, facing an end-of-year deadline to be approved or shelved until 2028.

​US President Donald Trump, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, French President Emmanuel Macron, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, Finland's President Alexander Stubb, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen at the White House in Washington, D.C., USA, on August 18, 2025.
Analysis

Viewpoint: Trump wants a Europe more like US

With the release of its National Security Strategy, the Trump administration has telegraphed how the US intends to engage with allies, and what it expects from them.

It’s official: Trump wants a weaker European Union
by ian bremmer

It’s official: Trump wants a weaker European Union

America’s new National Security Strategy confirms what Europeans have feared for months: Washington now sees a strong, unified European Union as a problem to be solved, not an ally to be supported.

ANO party leader Andrej Babis signs a document on the day he is appointed as the country's new prime minister in Prague, Czech Republic, on December 9, 2025.
What We're Watching

What We’re Watching: “Czech Trump” back in power, Rwanda-DRC peace deal seemingly in ruins, The US has a new type(face)

Trump’s new national security strategy targets Europe
Quick Take

Trump’s new national security strategy targets Europe

In this Quick Take, Ian Bremmer unpacks the Trump administration’s new national security strategy, particularly its heightened focus on Europe.

​Fishing boats moored at Taganga Beach in Santa Marta, Colombia, on October 20, 2025.
Hard Numbers

Hard Numbers: Family of Colombian casualty files complaint against US, EU seeks workaround for Ukraine funds, Search for Malaysian airlines flight restarts, & More

Europe divided as US pushes Ukraine-Russia peace deal
Quick Take

Europe divided as US pushes Ukraine-Russia peace deal

In this Quick Take, Ian Bremmer breaks down the controversy around Trump's 28-point Ukraine-Russia peace plan.

​A fruit and vegetable stall is lit by small lamps during a blackout in a residential neighborhood in Kyiv, Ukraine, on November 6, 2025, after massive Russian attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure in October.
Analysis

Lights out in Ukraine, prices up in Europe

As a fourth winter of war approaches, Russia is destroying Ukraine’s energy grid faster than it can be rebuilt.

A private kindergarten in the Kholodnohirskyi district that was hit by three Russian Shahed drones in Kharkiv, Ukraine, on October 22, 2025.
What We're Watching

What We’re Watching: Russia bombs Ukraine after Trump cancels Putin meeting, US and Qatar object to EU climate law, Ireland expected to elect socialist president