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How Trump’s Iran gamble backfired
by ian bremmer

How Trump’s Iran gamble backfired

Two weeks ago, President Donald Trump launched a war of choice to topple Iran's regime expecting a quick, clean win.

What is Trump's exit strategy from Iran?
ask ian

What is Trump's exit strategy from Iran?

In this "ask ian," Ian Bremmer explains why the Trump administration may be looking for a way out of the US–Israel war with Iran, even as Israel appears determined to keep fighting.

Pirhossein Kolivand, head of the Iranian Red Crescent Society, stands in front of the Shahran oil depot, which was targeted by US-Israeli strikes, in western Tehran, Iran, on March 8, 2026.
What We're Watching

Iran conflict sends oil prices surging, Trial begins for Erdogan’s main adversary, German Greens win in auto state

​Opinion polling on views on Iran war.
Graphic Truth

Graphic Truth: Netanyahu’s strategic window in Iran

There’s a striking gap in how Americans and Israelis view the US-Israeli war on Iran. Polling done by the Israel Democracy Institute showed the attacks have overwhelming support among Israelis.

​Smoke rises after an Israeli strike on Beirut's southern suburbs on March 6, 2026.
Analysis

For Hezbollah, is the writing on the wall?

The Lebanese militant group’s strikes against Israel on Monday appear to have given the Israelis the pretext to launch a massive counter-attack, with the ultimate aim being to disarm the Iran-backed group once and for all.

​An explosion in Sanandaj, Kurdistan province, Iran, amid the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran, in this still image from a social media video released on March 5, 2026.
What We're Watching

New fronts of Iran conflict, A better week for Russia than Ukraine, US and Spain butt heads

Two Iranian drones hit Azerbaijan, Iran’s northern neighbor, on Thursday, injuring four people and expanding the Iran conflict onto another front.

​People attend the funeral of a person who was killed in alleged Pakistani airstrikes, in the Ghani Khel district of Nangarhar province.
Analysis

From allies to enemies: Pakistan and Afghanistan in “open war”

While Iran fights in a new war against Israel and the United States, its neighbors to the east have been drawn into a conflict of their own.

​Women prepare a makeshift memorial in tribute to Iran's late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on a street, after he was killed in Israeli and U.S. strikes on Saturday, amid the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran, in Tehran, Iran, March 4, 2026.
by ian bremmer

After decapitation, what’s next?

Over the weekend, the United States and Israel pulled off one of the most operationally impressive military campaigns in recent memory.

Iran conflict: who could run out of weapons first?
Graphic Truth

Iran conflict: who could run out of weapons first?

The US and Israel have weapons and defense systems that are far more sophisticated than Iran’s. Precision missiles. Advanced radar. Missile defense systems stacked on top of each other.

What comes next in the US-Israel war with Iran?
Quick Take

What comes next in the US-Israel war with Iran?

In this Quick Take, Ian Bremmer examines what may come next in the US-Israel war with Iran as the Trump administration signals significantly larger military operations ahead.