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US-Canada trade war heats up
Quick Take

US-Canada trade war heats up

In his latest Quick Take, Ian Bremmer examines the collapse of US-Canada trade talks and what it reveals about President Trump’s growing political vulnerability.

Members of the Coalition of the Willing meeting in Kyiv, Ukraine
What We're Watching

European leaders head to Ukraine, US and Canada butt heads over trade, US threatens “economic D-Day” on Iran

The gathering today, which falls on the 35th anniversary of Ukraine’s independence from the Soviet Union, brings together nearly three dozen European countries supporting Ukraine with financial and military aid against Russia.

The AI risks being ignored
Quick Take

The AI risks being ignored

In this Quick Take, Ian Bremmer breaks down why the AI risks dominating the headlines may not be the ones worth worrying about.

​US President Donald Trump and Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney at the White House in Washington, D.C., USA, on October 7, 2025.
Analysis

Time for a US-Canada marriage counselor?

The US-Canada relationship has long been one of the closest partnerships in the world, but tensions have emerged since Donald Trump returned to office. The timing is far from ideal: the USMCA trade agreement is up for review in a few weeks.

PM Carney and Alberta Premier Smith joining their hands acknowledging the crowd before signing an energy agreement
Analysis

Separatists steal Canada’s geopolitical spotlight

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has announced a fall referendum on whether the province should pursue secession from Canada, potentially undermining Mark Carney’s pitch that Canada is a “stable, reliable partner” on the world stage.

As ties with the US fray, Canada looks across the Atlantic
Analysis

As ties with the US fray, Canada looks across the Atlantic

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney attended a meeting of the European Political Community in Armenia this weekend, a first by the leader of a non-European country. He was invited to discuss common interests in trade, energy, and security. In a speech that echoed his address to the World Economic Forum in Davos two months earlier, Carney called on middle powers, including Canada and European nations, to work together in the wake of disruption of the established world order — implicitly pointing to the United States. “It’s my strong personal view that the international order will be rebuilt,” he told the crowd in Yerevan, “but it will be rebuilt out of Europe.”

Participants and protesters hold posters opposing Japan’s Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's administration and her policies on constitutional revision and military expansion during a Constitution Memorial Day rally in Tokyo, Japan, May 3, 2026.
What We're Watching

Japan weighs revising pacifist constitution, Europe talks collective security in Armenia, US to “help free up” ships in Hormuz

Will Japan rewrite its rules of war? Europe meets (again) to shape its own defense destiny, US to “guide” ships through Hormuz

Hard Number: Canada’s Carney finally set for majority
Hard Numbers

Hard Number: Canada’s Carney finally set for majority

​Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, and US President Donald Trump during the 2026 World Cup draw in Washington, D.C., on December 5, 2025.
Analysis

Two US borders, two different approaches to Trump

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has repeatedly tussled with US President Donald Trump, whereas Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum has tried to placate him. The discrepancy raises questions about the best way to approach the US leader.

Has the US-led world order ended?

Has the US-led world order ended?

At Davos, Ian Bremmer says the most important speech at this year’s World Economic Forum wasn’t President Trump’s, it was Canada’s Prime Minister Mark Carney declaring “a rupture” in the US-led world order.

​Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney speaks during the 56th annual World Economic Forum (WEF) meeting in Davos, Switzerland, January 20, 2026.
What We're Watching

What We’re Watching: Davos speeches show strain US-Canada relationship, EU Mercosur deal delayed again, Friendly fire in Ethiopia

Did Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney deal the final blow to his country’s relationship with the US?