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Can Mark Carney build a new middle power alliance?
by ian bremmer

Can Mark Carney build a new middle power alliance?

Ian Bremmer analyzes Canada's effort to form a closer alliance with the EU

Canada and the EU deepen ties as trust in the US erodes
ask ian

Canada and the EU deepen ties as trust in the US erodes

In this ‘ask ian,' Ian Bremmer explains why Canada and Europe are moving to deepen their relationship, and what it signals about trust in Washington.

The GOP’s Musky scent
Hard Numbers

The GOP’s Musky scent

Musk's cash splash, which makes him the largest known midterm donor, is meant to help Republicans head off a so-called “Blue Wave” of Democratic support that could cost the GOP not only the House but possibly the Senate.

US-Canada trade war heats up
Quick Take

US-Canada trade war heats up

In his latest Quick Take, Ian Bremmer examines the collapse of US-Canada trade talks and what it reveals about President Trump’s growing political vulnerability.

Members of the Coalition of the Willing meeting in Kyiv, Ukraine
What We're Watching

European leaders head to Ukraine, US and Canada butt heads over trade, US threatens “economic D-Day” on Iran

The gathering today, which falls on the 35th anniversary of Ukraine’s independence from the Soviet Union, brings together nearly three dozen European countries supporting Ukraine with financial and military aid against Russia.

​US President Donald Trump and Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney at the White House in Washington, D.C., USA, on October 7, 2025.
Analysis

Time for a US-Canada marriage counselor?

The US-Canada relationship has long been one of the closest partnerships in the world, but tensions have emerged since Donald Trump returned to office. The timing is far from ideal: the USMCA trade agreement is up for review in a few weeks.

PM Carney and Alberta Premier Smith joining their hands acknowledging the crowd before signing an energy agreement
Analysis

Separatists steal Canada’s geopolitical spotlight

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has announced a fall referendum on whether the province should pursue secession from Canada, potentially undermining Mark Carney’s pitch that Canada is a “stable, reliable partner” on the world stage.

As ties with the US fray, Canada looks across the Atlantic
Analysis

As ties with the US fray, Canada looks across the Atlantic

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney attended a meeting of the European Political Community in Armenia this weekend, a first by the leader of a non-European country. He was invited to discuss common interests in trade, energy, and security. In a speech that echoed his address to the World Economic Forum in Davos two months earlier, Carney called on middle powers, including Canada and European nations, to work together in the wake of disruption of the established world order — implicitly pointing to the United States. “It’s my strong personal view that the international order will be rebuilt,” he told the crowd in Yerevan, “but it will be rebuilt out of Europe.”

Participants and protesters hold posters opposing Japan’s Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's administration and her policies on constitutional revision and military expansion during a Constitution Memorial Day rally in Tokyo, Japan, May 3, 2026.
What We're Watching

Japan weighs revising pacifist constitution, Europe talks collective security in Armenia, US to “help free up” ships in Hormuz

Will Japan rewrite its rules of war? Europe meets (again) to shape its own defense destiny, US to “guide” ships through Hormuz

​Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, and US President Donald Trump during the 2026 World Cup draw in Washington, D.C., on December 5, 2025.
Analysis

Two US borders, two different approaches to Trump

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has repeatedly tussled with US President Donald Trump, whereas Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum has tried to placate him. The discrepancy raises questions about the best way to approach the US leader.