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​People inspect the damage at the site of an Israeli strike on Friday, in Bednayel, Bekaa valley, Lebanon, February 21, 2026.
What We're Watching

What We’re Watching: Israel reportedly warns Lebanon, China-Japan tiff escalates, Canada says it will give aid to Cuba

Israel indirectly warned Lebanon that it would strike its northern neighbor hard if the Iran-backed militia group Hezbollah gets involved in any future US-Iran conflict, two Lebanese officials told Reuters.

​Members of the Mexican army stand guard at a roundabout on a main avenue in Guadalajara, Mexico, on February 23, 2026.
Hard Numbers

Hard Numbers: Mexican cartel uprisings leave dozens dead, Another prominent UK leader arrested over Epstein investigations, Trump leaves door open to tariff negotiations, South Sudan’s leader fires another finance minister

​Russian President Vladimir Putin attends his annual end-of-year press conference and phone-in in Moscow, Russia December 19, 2025.
What We're Watching

What We’re Watching: Russia seeks state-owned WhatsApp alternative, Argentina advances Milei’s labor reforms, Mixed messages on El Paso airport closure

The Russian government has begun blocking the popular messaging apps WhatsApp and Telegram in a sweeping crackdown aimed at forcing Russians to use a state-backed alternative called MAX, which critics say would enable censorship and surveillance.

​Igmel Tamayo carries charcoal to sell on the side of a road for use as cooking fuel in homes, on the outskirts of Havana, Cuba, on January 12, 2026.
Hard Numbers

Hard numbers: Cuba’s oil reserves running dry, China executes alleged Myanmar scammers, Metal hype continues, Heavy gunfire at Niger’s airport

​Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, and US President Donald Trump during the 2026 World Cup draw in Washington, D.C., on December 5, 2025.
Analysis

Two US borders, two different approaches to Trump

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has repeatedly tussled with US President Donald Trump, whereas Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum has tried to placate him. The discrepancy raises questions about the best way to approach the US leader.

​Japanese Emperor Naruhito and Empress Masako visit a kindergarten in Tokyo on May 21, 2024.
Hard Numbers

Hard Numbers: Japan’s birth rate sinks to record low, Executions set to double in Iran, Sudan’s soccer team provide rare moment of joy, & More

US President Donald Trump speaks with Chinese President Xi Jinping at Gimhae Air Base in Gimhae, South Korea, on October 30, 2025.
Analysis

Top risks of 2025, reviewed

Here’s how Eurasia Group’s 2025 Top Risks report stacked up – where it hit the mark and where it missed.

UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer leaves 10 Downing Street in London, United Kingdom, on November 12, 2025.
What We're Watching

What We’re Watching: UK’s Starmer on the ropes, Mexico’s Sheinbaum beefs up security in wild West, Hamas fighters trapped in their own tunnels

​Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney at the 47th ASEAN Summit in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, on October 27, 2025.
Hard Numbers

Hard Numbers: Bank of Canada slashes staff, US flights grounded by shutdown, Mexico’s president groped in viral incident, Japan targets ursine enemies

​U.S. President Donald Trump shakes hands with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, after an announcement of a trade deal between the U.S. and EU, in Turnberry, Scotland, Britain, July 27, 2025.
Hard Numbers

HARD NUMBERS: Trump pitches Europe on joint tariffs, Mexico nabs uniformed diesel smugglers, Hong Kong lawmakers veto same-sex bill, Apple holds prices steady

100: In his ongoing, and so-far fruitless, efforts to convince Vladimir Putin to stop the war in Ukraine, Donald Trump reportedly asked the EU to apply 100% tariffs on India and China, the Kremlin’s most important trade partners.