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Grief & controversy in Japan for Shinzo Abe's state funeral
Ian Bremmer's Quick Take: Hi, everybody. Ian Bremmer here from Tokyo, Japan, where it has been a pretty intense day. The state funeral of Shinzo Abe, the prime minister who, of course, of Japan was assassinated some 80 days ago. In some ways just kind of an astonishing couple of weeks for the world. Beginning of last week, of course, you had the funeral for Queen Elizabeth, by far the most important figure for the United Kingdom in the post-war period. Then the United Nations, where the entire world comes together in New York, and now in Japan, the state funeral, the first state funeral that you've had in Japan, 55 years for Abe Shinzo, who is by far the most important figure in Japan in the post-war period.
And in both cases, an astonishing outpouring of emotion, of grief in both countries. In the United Kingdom, of course, because she had ruled for 70 years, through so many prime ministers, since Churchill. In Japan, because Prime Minister Abe was gunned down, was assassinated by a young man with homemade weapons in a country that has virtually no violence and certainly not gun attacks against a former prime minister in broad daylight.
Also, controversy in both cases. In the case of the United Kingdom, young people increasingly unhappy with the idea of a monarchy. They think it's something that's kind of, sort of out of date, no longer appropriate for the United Kingdom or the world in the way it projects its power internationally. And of course, King Charles not nearly as popular as Queen Elizabeth has been. In the case of Japan, you have a sitting Prime Minister Kishida, who was both a protege and enormous ally of former Prime Minister Abe, whose popularity has been crushed over the past months, in part because of a crashing yen and challenges in economy, but also in part because of opposition to holding this state funeral, which frankly was because the of a big scandal in across the entire Liberal Democratic party in Japan, the ruling party, because of connections with the unification church, the Moonies as they're called.
The person who assassinated Abe actually wanted to assassinate the head of the Unification Church and couldn't because COVID restrictions meant that he was no longer traveling to Japan. And so he decided, okay, I'm going to kill Prime Minister Abe instead. And then you have these revelations that so many members of the LDP in parliament, in the Diet in Japan, were receiving funds, were going to meetings of the Unification Church. And Kishida's not tried to whitewash it, but it has made the decision to host the state funeral unpopular.
Having said all of that, you saw very little of that today. 20,000 members of Japanese police coming out to ensure that there was no security breaches anywhere during the day, and certainly I didn't see any problems at all. There were some demonstrations. They were relatively small, a few thousand people. Frankly, 5,000 people showed up directly inside for the state funeral. And people I've spoken to in Tokyo today, on balance pretty happy with the fact this has all gone relatively smoothly. We can finally put this horrible act behind Japan, behind the nation.
I will say Japan, unlike so many other democracies in the world today, is a relatively well functioning country, relatively unified. You don't have the same level of populism and fragmentation and de-legitimization of the political system that you see so much in other advanced industrial economies. But this still was an episode, this assassination, that really did deeply shake the Japanese people. And there's still, there's going to be a hangover for that I think for a long time.
Final point for me, the ceremony itself was really quite moving. Kishida-san, the prime minister, gave a powerful opening speech that was really about his political alignment with Prime Minister Abe and everything that Abe had done, his legacy. But by far the most moving part of the ceremony was from Suga-san, who was basically, in addition to being a one of Abe's closest allies, was also perhaps his best political friend. And he spoke about how he was able to convince Abe, after stepping down the first time as PM because of a significant illness, to run again for PM, and that it was the most significant accomplishment he considered of his entire life, and that he would consider it such until he was no longer here with us. Again, it was a moving speech. I saw that Prime Minister Abe's wife was crying all the way through. There was a spontaneous outburst of applause after he gave the speech, which is very unusual in Japan. Certainly otherwise, it was all quiet and respectful all the way through.
Also, such a large number of international leaders that came out for the Abe funeral. Not surprising, Prime Minister Modi, Narendra Modi of India, who was really Abe's best friend on the international stage, a relationship that really initiated the Quad that we have today. It started with Japan and with Abe, not with the United States, the US then picked it up, and it continues to be perhaps the most robust new international grouping that we have in Asia right now. But also, presidents and prime ministers from all over the world, foreign ministers just showing that the longest standing prime minister of Japan in its post-war history didn't just make a mark on Japan inside the country, but also leaves the legacy internationally that we'll be talking about for generation to come.
So that's, anyway, it for me here from Tokyo, I hope everyone's doing well and I'll talk to you all very soon.
For more of Ian Bremmer's weekly analyses, subscribe to his GZERO World newsletter at ianbremmer.bulletin.com- Japan's “JFK” moment: Shinzo Abe assassinated - GZERO Media ›
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Shinzo Abe’s goal of militarization & PM Kishida’s “golden opportunity” to reform Japan
Japan's Prime Minister Fumio Kishida has vowed to continue where his ex-boss, the late Shinzo Abe, left off. And he just got the parliamentary majority he needs to get big things done — including, perhaps, tweaking the constitution like Abe long dreamed of.
"Kishida now [has a] golden opportunity," Tomohiko Taniguchi, Abe's former adviser and close friend, tells Ian Bremmer on GZERO World.
But it won't be easy, and constitutional change is not the only big agenda item. In fact, Taniguchi would rather Kishida prioritize re-writing Japan's social contract to spending less on the elderly and more on young Japanese. Still, he believes changing the constitution is long overdue, and the PM has now been endowed with enough political capital to "tackle these issues head-on."
Watch the GZERO World episode: Assassinated! Japan’s grief & how Shinzo Abe’s goals will shape Asia
Assassinated! Japan’s grief & how Shinzo Abe’s goals will shape Asia
How will the shocking assassination of Shinzo Abe, Japan's former and longest-serving prime minister, reshape the country and the broader region?
And will it lead to realizing Abe's unfulfilled dream of amending Japan's postwar pacifist constitution?
On GZERO World, Ian Bremmer speaks to longtime Abe adviser Tomohiko Taniguchi, who shares how he felt when he found out his close friend had died.
Taniguchi also weighs in on Abe's foreign policy legacy, whether current PM Fumio Kishida can pick up where his old boss left off, and how Abe's untimely death might ultimately change Japan.
- Will Shinzo Abe's dream come true now? - GZERO Media ›
- How did Shinzo Abe change Japan, and the world? - GZERO Media ›
- Japan's “JFK” moment: Shinzo Abe assassinated - GZERO Media ›
- Japan's Shinzo Abe assassinated - GZERO Media ›
- Grief & controversy in Japan for Shinzo Abe's state funeral - GZERO Media ›
- Grief & controversy in Japan for Shinzo Abe's state funeral - GZERO Media ›
Japan’s history of political assassinations
The shocking assassination a week ago of former Prime Minister Shinzo has rattled Japan, where such acts of political violence are now extremely rare — but were once common.
In 1932, the head of government was killed by army cadets in an attempted coup. In 1960, Abe's own grandfather, also then-PM, survived a knife attack. Japan's last high-profile assassination occurred that same year, when a socialist politician was stabbed to death on national television.
We don't know yet how Abe's death will impact Japanese politics moving forward, but his party swept the vote in an election held three days later. An outpouring of sympathy for the former PM probably made all the difference.
The resounding victory might help the ruling achieve some of Abe's unfulfilled dreams when he was in office.
Watch the GZERO World episode: Assassinated! Japan’s grief & how Shinzo Abe’s goals will shape Asia
How Shinzo Abe's positive legacy could shape Japan's future
How will the shocking murder of former PM Shinzo Abe affect Japan moving forward?
In past national tragedies, especially the 2011 Fukushima nuclear disaster, longtime Abe adviser and close friend Tomohiko Taniguchi says that the "outpouring of sympathies and empathies from abroad helped a lot."
This time, he tells Ian Bremmer on GZERO World, everyone has urged Japan to carry on — and that's what the nation is doing right now.
In the future, Taniguchi hopes that the death of Japan's "cheerleader-in-chief" will help the country change for the better.
Watch the GZERO World episode: Assassinated! Japan’s grief & how Shinzo Abe’s goals will shape Asia
- How did Shinzo Abe change Japan, and the world? - GZERO Media ›
- Japan's “JFK” moment: Shinzo Abe assassinated - GZERO Media ›
- Japan's Shinzo Abe assassinated - GZERO Media ›
- Grief & controversy in Japan for Shinzo Abe's state funeral - GZERO Media ›
- Grief & controversy in Japan for Shinzo Abe's state funeral - GZERO Media ›
Mourning, disbelief & anger at the death of Japan’s Shinzo Abe
When Tomohiko Taniguchi learned that former Japanese PM Shinzo Abe had been killed, he felt many things, but first his thoughts turned to the man who took the life of his ex-boss and mentor.
"I was filled with a lot of but different emotions all at the same time," he tells Ian Bremmer on GZERO World. "Disbelief, grief, [but] the strongest emotion, of course, was anger."
Still, Taniguchi believes it was an isolated incident that doesn't indicate we're at the tip of an iceberg of political violence to come for Japan.
And above all, he misses his friend.
Podcast: As Japan reels: examining Shinzo Abe’s legacy & Japan’s future with his friend and adviser
Listen: Japan is reeling from the shocking assassination of Shinzo Abe, Japan's former and longest-serving prime minister. On the GZERO World podcast, Ian Bremmer speaks to longtime Abe adviser Tomohiko Taniguchi, who discusses the impact of Abe's legacy on the country and the broader region. Will Abe's unfulfilled dream of amending Japan's postwar pacifist constitution now be realized?
On a personal level, Taniguchi also shares how he felt when he found out his close friend had died, and how Abe's untimely death might ultimately change Japan. He also weighs in on whether current PM Fumio Kishida can pick up where his old boss left off.
Subscribe to the GZERO World Podcast on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Stitcher, or your preferred podcast platform, to receive new episodes as soon as they're published.
Japan’s Shinzo Abe assassinated
Former Japanese prime minister Shinzo Abe died on Friday after being shot while giving a speech at a campaign event in the city of Nara. He was 67.
“This heinous act of brutality is utterly unforgivable,” Prime Minister Fumio Kishida said of the killing.
Abe was Japan’s longest-serving prime minister before stepping down in 2020 due to health issues. During his time in office, he conceived of and implemented “Abenomics,” a set of policies to revive Japan’s languishing economy amid a rapidly aging society made up of three “arrows” or pillars: monetary easing, fiscal stimulus, and structural reforms.
As part of these efforts, Abe advocated strongly for enhancing the role of women in the economy—a policy he dubbed “womenomics.” He promoted gender equality in unprecedented ways for Japan, appointing women to positions of power, introducing corporate governance laws encouraging businesses to hire and promote women, increasing the availability of government-subsidized daycare, and driving a change in public attitudes—no easy feat in a nation with such entrenched traditional gender roles.
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A man mourns the death of former PM Abe where he was shot dead.Yuichi Yamazaki/Getty Images
On the international stage, he was a forceful and visionary leader and a true friend to the United States. A testament to his political and diplomatic skills, Abe was remarkable in his ability to work with former U.S. President Trump, whom Abe neither liked nor understood. Despite these challenging circumstances, Abe was able to manage the relationship well—certainly better than just about any other G7 leader. As a result, while U.S. relations with so many other countries withered, Abe was able to press his agenda and maintain strong and stable U.S.-Japan relations.
Under his tenure, Japan became more integrated with its regional allies, commercially and strategically. He did much to advance free trade and security in Asia, and he developed a grand strategy to respond proactively to China’s rise. He pushed hard for the Trans-Pacific Partnership even when President Obama no longer could, and he was instrumental in getting the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP), the world’s biggest high-standard multilateral trade agreement. He also developed the Free and Open Indo-Pacific Strategy and was the catalyst for the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (Quad), two key security arrangements to counteract China’s influence.
Abe’s slaying rocks one of the world’s safest, most stable and unified democracies, a country with notoriously staid politics where violent crime is exceedingly rare and gun violence is virtually non-existent. The last political assassination in Japan took place in 1960.
The tragedy has already generated an extraordinary outpouring of sympathy for the former prime minister, both at home and abroad. No doubt, it will act as a unifying moment for the nation, much like John F. Kennedy’s assassination did in the United States. It will likely help his Liberal Democratic Party in Sunday’s parliamentary elections, where the ruling coalition is expected to keep or increase its majority, and consolidate Prime Minister Kishida’s position as the strongest domestically among all G7 leaders.
On a personal note, I was honored to know Prime Minister Abe for well over a decade. His extraordinary charisma, openness, and kindness always stood out to me, especially in the context of Japan’s restrained politics.
He served Japan with determination, intelligence, imagination, and dignity, and he was never afraid to go against the grain or to break with tradition. Without question, he was one of the most loved Japanese leaders I’ve ever encountered—and for good reason.
I had great respect and admiration for him. His death fills me with sorrow. I, Japan, and the world will miss him.
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