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U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to the media on board Air Force One on the way to West Palm Beach, Florida, U.S., April 13, 2025.
The art of the repeal? Trump scraps China tech tariffs - for now
When it comes to tariffs, US President Donald Trump is proving more, er, flexible than some thought. Case in point: late Friday, US Customs quietly published a list of tariff exemptions, and buried in the jargon was code 8517.13.00.00. If you know your customs codes, that’s the digital alias of… the smartphone.
Trump’s new 145% tariffs on Chinese goods will now (mostly) spare the devices, as well as laptops, memory chips, solar cells, and semiconductors.
Why the walkback? Eighty percent of iPhones sold in the US are manufactured in China. The full weight of the tariff would have sent sticker pricessoaring north of $2,000, torched Apple’s margins, and further spooked Wall Street.
What’s China’s reaction? On Sunday, Beijing acknowledged the “small step” butcalled on Washington to go further, drop the rest and return to a “path of mutual respect.”
That seems unlikely in the near term. Trump on Sunday pointed out that Chinese tech is still subject to a previous 20% tariff, and that more levies and penalties on Chinese electronics and semiconductors are coming. “NOBODY is getting off the hook,” he warned.
The president earlier said he’d give more details on the evolving US approach to the critical Chinese semiconductor industry on Monday. Keep an eye out for that -- it'll be the next big news in the US-China trade war.
The Graphic Truth: Which US states export the most to China?
The trade war between the US and China is already scorching hot. As of this writing, the US has slapped tariffs of 145% on all Chinese goods, while Beijing has hit the US with a 125% levy of its own.
Much attention has focused on the tariff impact on Chinese exporters and US consumers – fair enough, given that China is the second largest source of US imports.
But US industries also sold more than $140 billion worth of goods to China last year – with agricultural goods (soy beans especially), electronic equipment, and oil and gas among the top exports.
Here’s a look at the ten US states that exported the most to China, along with estimates of how many jobs were supported by that commerce.
An Apple Store employee walks past an illustration of iPhones at the new Apple Carnegie Library during the grand opening and media preview in Washington, U.S., May 9, 2019.
Could an iPhone really cost $3,500?
US tariffs on China are now a staggering125%. That affects thousands of goods produced in China, but let’s take a look at one, which may be in your pocket or your hand right now: the iPhone.
CBS Newsreports that the price of an iPhone 16 Pro Max with 256GB of storage, which currently retails for $1,199, would climb to nearly $1,900. And that’s at the present tariff rate, which may rise further as the US-China trade war intensifies.
What about the longer term price impact? Trump’s stated goal is to have more iPhones — and other goods both high-tech and not — made in the US. High tariffs are meant to force the long-term, mass “reshoring” of manufacturing.
In principle, that’s possible, but it would come at a cost: Experts predict that a US-made iPhone could cost as much as $3,500 — and only after years of investment in new factories and workforces.
Apple recently announced it would invest $500 billion in the US, money the company said will not include manufacturing iPhones there. The White House, for its part, says it will. Watch this space…
Meanwhile, Apple is already accelerating shipmentsof iPhones to the US as consumers rush to buy before prices soar.
President Donald Trump speaks as he signs executive orders and proclamations in the Oval Office at the White House on April 9, 2025.
The Truth will set tariffs free
With stock markets plunging and US Treasury yields reaching new heights, US President Donald Trump finally reneged on parts of his widescale tariff plan on Wednesday, declaring a 90-day pause to the far-reaching “reciprocal” levies that he introduced just one week ago while leaving a 10% across-the-board duty in place. He also escalated the already-burgeoning trade war with China by increasing the tariff on their imports to 125%.
“I have authorized a 90 day PAUSE, and a substantially lowered Reciprocal Tariff during this period, of 10%, also effective immediately. Thank you for your attention to this matter!” Trump declared on Truth Social.
Trump’s announcement brought some much-needed relief to the countries facing these tariffs.
“This is a much smaller tariff wall. It is less disruptive. It has the potential for landing in a better place with most of the US trading partners,” said Eurasia Group’s geoeconomics expert Jens Larsen.
All in a day. The S&P 500 index surged more than 9% within a few hours of the announcement, bringing some rare good news to the American markets in an otherwise-tawdry week. The Nikkei jumped 9% on Thursday, recording its second-best ever day. As for China, Trump said the 125% tariff would be implemented immediately, before expressing optimism that the two superpowers could reach a deal. Beijing had announced earlier on Wednesday that it was imposing an additional 50% tariff on US imports, matching the extra duty that Trump had placed on Chinese imports on Tuesday and bringing the total levy to 84%.
Not out of the woods yet. Though stocks rose following Trump’s pause, Treasury yields haven’t fully recovered from the sharp moves of earlier this week, reflecting some potential damage to the US economic brand. The dollar has continued falling, too. The political ramifications of this are potentially more widespread than any market drops, as the higher yields make it more difficult for small businesses to access loans, with knock-on effects for the US economy.
“Fundamental uncertainty remains. Not only could tariffs be implemented in the future, but the predictability and credibility of US economic policy has taken a serious hit,” Larsen added. “And at the end, we still end up with a more rapidly fragmenting world.”
"We've lost enormous credibility around the world" because of tariffs - Summers
On GZERO World with Ian Bremmer, economist Larry Summers slams the Trump administration’s trade war as “the worst, most consequential, self-inflicted wound in US economic policy since the Second World War.” He says there’s still time to limit the damage—if the tariffs are walked back quickly—but warns that the global fallout is already underway. “Even in the best imaginable place, we have lost enormous credibility in the world,” Summers says, adding that the unpredictability rattles everything from debt markets to US alliances.
When Bremmer asks what the Trump administration is actually trying to accomplish, Summers is at a loss. "I don't see this as a rational way of either pursuing the objective of strengthening US manufacturing or the objective of reducing other countries' trade barriers." And the damage, Summers adds, will be extensive and long-lasting.
"We have lost enormous credibility in the world. We've created a large uncertainty premium about what we're going to do next, and we're going to be seen as a less reliable country...this kind of truculence does not go unnoticed, and it is not immediately forgotten."
Watch full episode: Larry Summers: Trump's trade war the "worst self-inflicted wound since WWII"
GZERO World with Ian Bremmer, the award-winning weekly global affairs series, airs nationwide on US public television stations (check local listings).
New digital episodes of GZERO World are released every Monday on YouTube. Don't miss an episode: subscribe to GZERO's YouTube channel and turn on notifications (🔔).GZERO World with Ian Bremmer airs on US public television weekly - check local listings.
Larry Summers has a few thoughts about Trump's trade war
Listen: For a special edition of the GZERO World Podcast, Ian Bremmer sits down with former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers to get his economic assessment of President Trump's unprecedented imposition of tariffs, which has sparked an escalating trade war.
"I don't see this as a rational way of either pursuing the objective of strengthening US manufacturing or the objective of reducing other countries' trade barriers," Summers tells Bremmer. "This is probably the worst, most consequential, self-inflicted wound in US economic policy since the Second World War."
Summers, who was also at one point the President of Harvard University, is especially astonished by the lack of backbone that certain institutions, from universities to law firms, have shown when it comes to standing up against the Trump administration. "History will record of the United States establishment at this moment, that it allowed itself to be especially cowed...If Harvard is not prepared to speak up... it's hard to imagine who will."
Subscribe to the GZERO World Podcast on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Stitcher, or your preferred podcast platform, to receive new episodes as soon as they're published.
Larry Summers: Trump's trade war the "worst self-inflicted wound since WWII"
On a scale of 1-10, how irritated is former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers by the Trump administration's escalating trade war? He's at an 11. On a special edition of GZERO World with Ian Bremmer, Summers says he is highly concerned with the White House's ad hoc and escalating imposition of tariffs, which he describes as the "worst, most consequential, self-inflicted wound in US economic policy since the Second World War." He believes that even if the tariffs are reversed, the US has already lost significant credibility globally, which will have long-term consequences for the country's ability to sell debt, form security alliances, and conduct economic and foreign policy.
Summers, formerly the president of Harvard University, also tells Ian that he's more than a little disappointed by the lack of public pushback from US institutions and business leaders, though he understands the complexities they face in speaking out against the administration. But economics aside, Summers is more worried about the threat to American democracy and the rule of law than the health of the US and global economy. Economic damage can be reversed but erosion of democratic norms is harder to recover from.
GZERO World with Ian Bremmer, the award-winning weekly global affairs series, airs nationwide on US public television stations (check local listings).
New digital episodes of GZERO World are released every Monday on YouTube. Don't miss an episode: subscribe to GZERO's YouTube channel and turn on notifications (🔔).GZERO World with Ian Bremmer airs on US public television weekly - check local listings.
US President Donald Trump attends a bilateral meeting with China's President Xi Jinping during the G20 leaders summit in Osaka, Japan, June 29, 2019.
China vows retaliation as US tariffs take effect
With the Trump administration’s reciprocal tariffs taking effect on Wednesday, the US’s largest trading partner, China, has signaled that it is not backing down from a trade war. Beijing has promised to “fight to the end” after Donald Trump imposed 104% levies on China. Sure enough, the Mainland Kingdom announced on Wednesday that it would impose an additional 50% tariff on US imports, matching Trump’s latest hike.
According to Eurasia Group China expert Lauren Gouldeman, unofficial government-linked sources have indicated that Beijing is prepared to implement six other measures in retaliation, including:
- Halting collaboration on fentanyl-related efforts
- Limiting agricultural exports from the US
- Imposing restrictions on US poultry imports
- Blocking the sale of American services in China, such as design, consulting, financial, and legal services
- Banning US films (Sorry, “A Minecraft Movie”)
- Launching investigations into the intellectual property practices of American companies
These steps aren’t just reactionary — they reflect a strategic shift. “Beijing has been preparing for decoupling for years,” says Gouldeman. “So it will continue to follow its playbook of stepping up support to safeguard the domestic economy and finding alternative markets for trade and investment.”
The EU, meanwhile, has said it is open to working with China to stabilize the global economy, a sign that trade alliances could be realigning to circumvent the US. However, the bloc is also concerned about Chinese products flooding their markets.
Speaking of markets, stocks slid back down the slippery slope on Wednesday. Japan’s Nikkei closed nearly 4% down, Europe’s Stoxx 600 dropped 3% Wednesday morning, and futures on US indices also headed backward. Tuesday’s brief respite seems like a fever dream.
There is still room to maneuver: Beijing has reiterated its openness to negotiations, provided the US first removes its unilateral tariffs. But the Trump administration has signaled that it will stay the course to reshore supply chains. Going even further, the US president announced yesterday that he will soon announce “major” tariffs on pharmaceutical imports, which had been exempt from the “reciprocal” rates announced on “liberation day.”
We’ll be watching to see whether bilateral trade survives, but in the meantime, China has a well-stocked arsenal of memes going viral, making fun of the American dream of re-industrialization.