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U.S. President Donald Trump and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney meet in the Oval Office at the White House in Washington, D.C.
Analysis

The Great North American trade war

It’s official: the US and Canada are in a trade war, a remarkable rupture in one of the world’s closest alliances.

US-Canada trade war heats up
Quick Take

US-Canada trade war heats up

In his latest Quick Take, Ian Bremmer examines the collapse of US-Canada trade talks and what it reveals about President Trump’s growing political vulnerability.

Diptych of the American flag and the Bank of America logo
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US plan to divide the world’s AI alliances?
Quick Take

US plan to divide the world’s AI alliances?

In his latest Quick Take, Ian Bremmer asks whether the United States should be pushing countries to choose between American and Chinese technology as the AI race accelerates.

Is the US-China relationship reaching a breaking point?
Quick Take

Is the US-China relationship reaching a breaking point?

In his latest Quick Take, Ian Bremmer examines the stability of US-China relations and why he believes the period of relative calm between the two countries may be coming to an end.

Why the US and Iran still can’t reach a deal
Quick Take

Why the US and Iran still can’t reach a deal

In his latest Quick Take, Ian Bremmer discusses the on-again off-again ceasefire between the United States and Iran and why it has failed to hold, arguing that both sides remain locked in a fundamental disagreement over who has the leverage.

Why AI needs a global referee
ask ian

Why AI needs a global referee

In this “ask ian,” Ian Bremmer argues that the debate over whether the United States or China will lead artificial intelligence is overshadowing a more important question: who will govern a technology advancing faster than governments can regulate?

Mounting pressure between US and Iran with no end in sight
Quick Take

Mounting pressure between US and Iran with no end in sight

In his latest Quick Take, Ian Bremmer argues that the war between the United States and Iran has entered a more dangerous phase, with both sides demonstrating they can sustain military and economic pressure without forcing the other to back down. The question is, will this standoff bring them back to the table before the conflict escalates further?

Vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, as seen from Musandam, Oman, on June 18, 2026.
by ian bremmer

The US-Iran ceasefire is over. What’s next?

On Monday, President Donald Trump announced the United States would reimpose its naval blockade of Iran, effective Tuesday afternoon. Iran responded by declaring the Strait of Hormuz closed to all traffic that does not route through its preferred corridor.

The demolition of the border fence between Spain and Gibraltar in La Línea de la Concepción, on July 15, 2026.
What We're Watching

Spain-Gibraltar border comes crashing down, US and Iran enter shaky equilibrium, Mexico’s Sheinbaum finally challenges an ICE killing

People can now travel freely between Spain and British overseas territory of Gibraltar, after the European Union and the United Kingdom clinched a deal last year that facilitated the fall of the border wall between the two countries on Tuesday.

​Crude oil tanker Odessa, carrying UAE crude after passing through the Strait of Hormuz with its Automatic Identification System transponder turned off, navigates the waters at Daesan port, in Seosan, South Korea, May 8, 2026.
What We're Watching

The memorandum of misunderstanding over Hormuz, Magyar’s Orbán-era purge, China's anti-graft drive

The US and Iran exchanged missiles again overnight. The two countries are at odds over whether Tehran can impose tolls on ships that pass through the Strait of Hormuz.