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The world hedges its bets on America
by ian bremmer

The world hedges its bets on America

Ever since Donald Trump returned to office last year, governments have been hedging bets on the future of American power and what it might mean for them.

US President Donald Trump speaks during a state dinner at the White House in Washington, D.C., USA, on April 28, 2026.​
What We're Watching

US readying for extended Hormuz blockade, Philippine VP’s impeachment case advances, Hungary’s Magyar comes to Brussels

US President Donald Trump reportedly told his aides to prepare for a longer blockade of Iranian-linked ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz. But it’s not clear how long such a blockade could last – for either country.

​US President Donald Trump, first lady Melania Trump, King Charles III and Queen Camilla wave from the balcony of the White House, in Washington, D.C., USA, on April 28, 2026.
Analysis

Can the King be the UK’s Trump card?

Charles’ visit to the United States this week comes at a precarious moment for US-UK relations. However, the US president’s reverence for the UK monarchy may ensure that the relationship remains “special.”

Violence creates an environment of fear in US politics
Graphic Truth

Violence creates an environment of fear in US politics

The latest assassination attempt at the White House Correspondents’ Dinner in Washington, D.C., on Saturday shines yet another light on the rising level of political violence in the United States.

​Venezuela's acting President Delcy Rodriguez attends a meeting with Colombia's Defense Minister Pedro Sanchez and Colombia's Foreign Minister Rosa Villavicencio at Miraflores Palace in Caracas, Venezuela, on March 13, 2026.
What We're Watching

Colombia’s Petro to finally meet Venezuela’s Rodríguez, Iran’s foreign minister wants more talks, The US reportedly mulls gift for Argentina

Colombian President Gustavo Petro is set to meet Venezuela’s acting President Delcy Rodríguez in Caracas today, their first encounter since the US deposed Rodríguez’s former boss, Nicolás Maduro.

Hard Number: US holds up cash for Iraq
Hard Numbers

Hard Number: US holds up cash for Iraq

​CEO and Co-Founder of Anthropic Dario Amodei in Davos, Switzerland, on January 20, 2026.
Analysis

Could Mythos prompt Trump admin U-turn on AI regulation?

The release of Antrhopic’s Mythos, a powerful AI model with an extraordinary ability to identify software vulnerabilities, appears to have rattled the Trump administration.

​A view of Iranian-flagged cargo ship Touska from USS Spruance (DDG 111) in a location given as the north Arabian Sea, in this screen capture from a video released on April 19, 2026.
What We're Watching

US expands its blockade, Argentina’s Milei seeks electoral reforms, EU finally greenlights massive loan to Ukraine

The US Navy isn’t just intercepting Iranian-linked ships outside the Strait of Hormuz. It’s redirecting Iranian-linked ships in Asian waters, too.

Hard number: Iran war elevates Panama Canal costs
Hard Numbers

Hard number: Iran war elevates Panama Canal costs

The US Senate is suddenly in play
by ian bremmer

The US Senate is suddenly in play

The prevailing view a few months ago was that Democrats were likely to retake the House of Representatives in November's midterm elections, but not the Senate. That calculus has now changed.