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The tide is turning in Russia-Ukraine war
by ian bremmer

The tide is turning in Russia-Ukraine war

Ukraine is increasingly finding vulnerabilities in Russia’s defenses, piling further pressure on President Vladimir Putin.

​Noam Bettan from Israel with the song "Michelle" during rehearsals for the first Eurovision semi-final on May 12, 2026. in the Stadthalle.
What We're Watching

Geopolitics infiltrates Eurovision, South Africa’s Ramaphosa could face the music, Zelensky’s former chief of staff faces accusations of corruption

Even Eurovision cannot escape geopolitics, South Africa’s constitutional court opens door to Ramaphosa impeachment vote, Zelensky’s former right-hand man accused in corruption probe

Participants and protesters hold posters opposing Japan’s Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's administration and her policies on constitutional revision and military expansion during a Constitution Memorial Day rally in Tokyo, Japan, May 3, 2026.
What We're Watching

Japan weighs revising pacifist constitution, Europe talks collective security in Armenia, US to “help free up” ships in Hormuz

Will Japan rewrite its rules of war? Europe meets (again) to shape its own defense destiny, US to “guide” ships through Hormuz

​Syrian President Ahmad Al-Sharaa receives Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the People's Palace in Damascus, Syria, on April 5, 2026.
What We're Watching

Syria rolls out the red carpet for Ukraine, Migrants missing in Mediterranean, New international security force to Haiti

It’s hard to think of two world leaders with more unlikely life paths than Ukraine’s Volodymyr Zelensky, a former comedian who played a president on TV only to become the actual president of a country under assault from a nuclear superpower, and Syrian leader Ahmad al-Sharaa, a former Al-Qaeda jihadist who toppled the Assad regime and now jet-sets to Western capitals, shoots hoops with US generals, and spits game at prime time news hosts.

​Liberia-flagged Aframax tanker Suvorovsky Prospect discharges fuel oil from Russia at the Matanzas terminal, in Matanzas, Cuba, on July 16, 2022.
Analysis

Putin’s gamble in Cuba

A tanker carrying Russian oil is headed toward Cuba, setting up a potential confrontation with the US military around the communist-run Caribbean island.

​An army soldier stands guard at a post at the Friendship Gate, following exchanges of fire between Pakistan and Afghanistan forces, at the border crossing between the two countries in Chaman, Pakistan February 27, 2026. Picture taken with a mobile phone.
What We're Watching

Shots fired between Pakistan and Afghanistan, Trump pushes Zelensky for a quick deal, US trades humanitarian aid for critical minerals

In a 30-minute call on Thursday, President Donald Trump reportedly told Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky he wants to end the war with Russia as soon as possible — aiming for a deal by summer, but ideally within weeks.

Daalder: "A ceasefire is not in the interest of Ukraine"
US & Canada

Daalder: "A ceasefire is not in the interest of Ukraine"

A ceasefire in Ukraine could be a strategic trap, leaving Kyiv vulnerable, former NATO ambassador Ivo Daalder warns on GZERO World.

​Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy listens to US President Donald Trump at the Mar-a-Lago club, in Palm Beach, Florida, USA, on December 28, 2025.
Hard Numbers

Hard Numbers: Zelensky wants longer security guarantee, Foreign stocks outperform Wall Street, Israel recognizes Somaliland, Nepal scraps waste scheme, Bukele ready for another decade

Trump–Zelensky meeting at Mar-a-Lago
ask ian

Trump–Zelensky meeting at Mar-a-Lago

In this "ask ian," Ian Bremmer analyzes Trump’s recent meeting with Zelensky and how close (or far) Russia and Ukraine are from a peace deal.

​US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky shake hands at the Mar-a-Lago club, in Palm Beach, Florida, USA, on December 28, 2025.
What We're Watching

What We’re Watching: Mar-a-Lago diplomacy, Saudi reportedly hits UAE-backed group in Yemen, Another Thai-Cambodian ceasefire under threat