Creative Director, Senior Editor/Producer
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Alex Kliment
Creative Director, Senior Editor/Producer
Alex wears a few different caps and tips them all regularly. He writes for the GZERO Daily, works as a field correspondent for GZERO's nationally syndicated TV show GZERO WORLD WITH IAN BREMMER, and writes/directs/voices GZERO's award-winning puppet satire show PUPPET REGIME. Prior to joining GZERO, Alex worked as an analyst covering Russia and broader Emerging Markets for Eurasia Group. He has also written for the Financial Times from Washington, DC, and Sao Paulo Brazil. In his spare time, he makes short films and composes scores for long ones. He studied history and Slavic literature at Columbia and has a Master's from Johns Hopkins SAIS. He's a native New Yorker, a long-suffering Mets fan, and owns too many bicycles.
Dec 20, 2024
He’s not even president yet, and Donald Trump is already making huge waves in Europe. According to the Financial Times, his aides have been quietly letting European capitals know that the incoming president will do three things:
- Demand that NATO countries increase their defense spending to 5% of GDP. That’s nearly triple the current non-binding standard of 2%. During his first term, Trump used the implied threat of withdrawing from the treaty organization to scare members into meeting that benchmark Mr, and about two-thirds of NATO members now do. But no one is even close to 5%, a level that would put an immense strain on most European economies. Poland currently leads with just over 4%, while the US is at about 3.5% – a level that, reports say, Trump might settle for alliance-wide.
- Link trade policy preferences to this standard – in other words, countries that meet this standard will get better terms with the US than those that don’t. In this context, remember that Trump has promised to put blanket tariffs of at least 10% on all imports to the US.
- Continue supplying weapons to Ukraine to ensure that the country is well-armed enough to sustain any peace deal with Russia, but without ever joining NATO.
The context: For decades, European allies were confident in the US commitment to collective defense through NATO and to free trade. No longer. Trump wants Europe to contribute more to its own defense rather than rely on the Cold War legacy security umbrella provided by the US. He has no problem linking that demand with trade policy in order to use America’s economic muscle to get what he wants.
The caveat: Trump won’t take office for another month. These demands may be preliminary, and they could certainly be flexible. But at a minimum they bring into focus the main features of Trump’s foreign policy towards Europe.