A tale of two speakers

Speaker of the House of Commons Anthony Rota during Question Period on Parliament Hill in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada September 25, 2023.
Speaker of the House of Commons Anthony Rota during Question Period on Parliament Hill in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada September 25, 2023.
REUTERS/Blair Gable

It’s been an extraordinary few weeks for speakers in both the House of Representatives and the House of Commons.

One is fighting to keep his job; the other just resigned.

US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy is trying to navigate between the shoals of the Democrats and far-right Republicans. His hold on the speakership was tenuous from day one, but with a government shutdown looming, and a continuing resolution to keep it operating seemingly out of reach, at least for now, he’s facing a tough struggle to hold onto the gavel.

North of the border, House of Commons Speaker Anthony Rota resigned on Tuesday after welcoming Nazi war veteran Yaroslav Hunka to parliament, calling him “a Canadian hero” and “a Ukrainian hero” and thanking him for his service.

Hunka was in the visitor’s gallery during Volodymyr Zelensky’s speech to the joint session of parliament. Rota introduced Hunka as having fought against Russia during World War II, apparently unaware this meant he had fought for Nazi Germany. Rota apologized and took responsibility for the invitation before resigning.

On Wednesday, PM Justin Trudeau offered his own apology for the harm caused by Hunka’s visit. The House of Commons will choose a new speaker next Tuesday by secret ballot.

We’re watching to see if a new Canadian speaker can restore trust and authority to the speakership – and maybe a bit of decorum in the raucous House. Meanwhile, McCarthy will be working to get his far-right caucus on side to pass a bill to fund the government and end the shutdown that is set to begin Sunday. Could this blow up and cost McCarthy his role as speaker?

Clayton Allen, US director for Eurasia Group, doesn’t think so. He says McCarthy “hasn’t lost his ability to govern the House,” though he’s facing the worst internal divisions and narrowest margin of control in “at least a decade.” While it’s “a bit of a parlor game in Washington to speculate about McCarthy’s downfall … the risk is somewhat overstated,” since his removal would require majority support, including all Democrats.

More from GZERO Media

Fire authorities search for the missing and recover the deceased at the site of an accident near Muan International Airport in Jeollanam-do, South Korea, on Dec. 29, 2024.
Chris Jung/NurPhoto via Reuters

The country's deadliest aviation disaster since 1997 comes at a politically volatile time.

President-elect Donald Trump greets Elon Musk before attending a viewing of the launch of the sixth test flight of the SpaceX Starship rocket, in Brownsville, Texas, U.S., on Nov. 19, 2024.
Brandon Bell/Pool via REUTERS

Is Elon Musk a 21st-century Svengali? Two weeks after being accused of acting like the president – instead of a presidential advisor – when he attempted to sway Congress to torpedo a spending bill, the tech magnate is wielding political influence once again – and enraging some supporters of President-elect Donald Trump.

- YouTube

Jimmy Carter, the 39th President of the United States, has died at the age of 100. A one-term president whose administration was marred by inflation, a gas crisis, and the Iranian hostage standoff, Carter went on to have one of the most illustrious post-presidencies in American history. Here's a remembrance from Ian Bremmer on President Carter’s foreign policy legacy.

A day before the controversial inauguration of Georgian Dream loyalist Mikheil Kavelashvili as the country's new president, Georgian citizens demonstrate with pro-EU placards and Georgian, American, and European Union flags as they protest the government's decision to suspend European membership talks in Tbilisi, Georgia, on Dec. 28, 2024.
Jerome Gilles/NurPhoto via Reuters

On Sunday, Georgia inaugurated President Mikheil Kavelashvili amid growing demonstrations and accusations of election fraud perpetrated by Moscow. Kavelashvili, a former soccer player, was selected by a 300-member electoral college controlled by the ruling Georgian Dream party, which now dominates every major government institution.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov speaks during the Doha Forum 2024 on Dec. 7, 2024.
DOHA Qatar Copyright: xNOUSHADx via Reuters

Russia no longer considers itself bound by its unilateral moratorium on the deployment of intermediate and shorter-range nuclear-capable missiles, clearing the way for Moscow to deploy the weapons across Europe and Asia.

Economic Outlook 2025 reveals the trends and shifts that will shape the global economy in the coming year, according to the Mastercard Economics Institute. The report explores a few key economic themes, leveraging Mastercard’s aggregated and anonymized data to provide a unique perspective. This includes cyclical changes – such as shifts in consumption as central banks lower rates or prices change – and structural changes like the impact of migration on capital flows or workplace flexibility driving greater female workforce engagement.

Every January, Eurasia Group, GZERO’s parent company, produces a report with its forecast for the top 10 geopolitical risks for the world in the year ahead. Its authors are EG PresidentIan Bremmerand EG ChairmanCliff Kupchan. The 2025 report will drop on Jan. 6.

But first, let’s look back at the 2024 Top Risks report – you can read the full report hereto see where Bremmer and Kupchan hit or missed the mark.

- YouTube

Ian Bremmer's Quick Take: Is stapling green cards to STEM PhDs the answer to closing America’s talent gaps? What becomes of "America First"? In this Quick Take, Ian Bremmer discusses Vivek Ramaswamy's provocative proposal and the stir it’s causing among Trump supporters over immigration policy.