Bibi, Biden, and the rocky road to a cease-fire

US President Joe Biden during a meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on the Israel-Hamas war in Tel Aviv, Israel, Wednesday, Oct. 18, 2023.
US President Joe Biden during a meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on the Israel-Hamas war in Tel Aviv, Israel, Wednesday, Oct. 18, 2023.
Miriam Alster/REUTERS

The US and Middle Eastern countries have been involved in Gaza cease-fire talks in recent days, and there have been some signs that another temporary truce – involving the release of hostages – could be on the horizon.

But Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Tuesday threw cold water on two of Hamas’s biggest demands: an Israeli military withdrawal from Gaza and the release of thousands of Palestinian prisoners. “We will not compromise on anything less than total victory,” Netanyahu said Tuesday, signaling that he’s determined to pursue the destruction of Hamas – however unattainable that goal may be.

As long as the fighting in Gaza continues, it seems probable that Iran and its proxies will continue efforts to punish Israel and the US.

Along these lines, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken on Monday said the Middle East faces an “incredibly volatile time” and the most “dangerous” situation it’s seen in roughly 50 years.

These comments came as the Biden administration weighs how to respond to an attack by an Iran-backed militia in Jordan that killed three US service members. The US has retaliated against Iranian proxies in Iraq, Syria, and Yemen multiple times over dozens of attacks since Oct. 7, but none of its actions have served as an effective deterrent so far.

The US is likely to turn things up a notch in how it responds to the Jordan attack but will aim to avoid taking steps that would risk starting a regional conflict. Instead of just retaliating against Tehran’s proxies, the US might target Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps leaders in Iraq and Syria.

“We will respond and that response could be multi-leveled, come in stages, and be sustained over time,” says Blinken.

More from GZERO Media

- YouTube

In a GZERO Global Stage discussion at the 7th annual Paris Peace Forum, Dr. Comfort Ero, President and CEO of the International Crisis Group, shed light on the increasing elusiveness of global peace amid rising conflicts worldwide. She pointed out a "crisis of peacemaking," noting that comprehensive peace processes and settlements have become rare, with the last significant one being in Colombia in 2016.

- YouTube

Today, around 3.3 billion people live in countries spending more on debt than on essential services like education and healthcare, and governments worldwide are struggling to pay these debts. Rebeca Grynspan, secretary-general of the UN Conference on Trade and Development, warns of looming trade wars and faltering financial systems designed to reduce global poverty and promote development. What will it take to get countries back on track? Grynspan shares insights on this, highlighting the roles of the UN General Assembly and the International Monetary Fund in a Global Stage interview with GZERO’s Tony Maciulis on the sidelines of the 7th annual Paris Peace Forum.

Global risks are mounting as the next US President and new Congress prepare to navigate a demanding geopolitical agenda, from international trade to energy security and strategic alliances. Corporates and investors are assessing these potential risks and positioning themselves to safeguard growth, maintain flexibility in operations, and hedge against anticipated volatility. Explore how election implications are shaping strategies and priorities with RBC Capital Markets’ Beyond the Ballot.

Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party head Shigeru Ishiba (R, front) is formally inaugurated as prime minister in a ceremony with Emperor Naruhito (L) at the Imperial Palace in Tokyo on Nov. 11, 2024.
Pool photo/Kyodo

Shigeru Ishiba skirts defeat, but now faces a slew of economic and geopolitical challenges.

Russia's President Vladimir Putin talks to U.S. President Donald Trump during their bilateral meeting at the G20 summit in Hamburg, Germany July 7, 2017.
REUTERS/Carlos Barria

Trump reportedly warned Putin not to escalate the war in Ukraine while reminding him of the US military’s significant presence in Europe.

Taiwan's then-Vice President William Lai at a news conference in Taipei, in January 2023.

Jameson Wu/EYEPRESS via Reuters

Taiwan’s leaders know that President-elect Donald Trump expects US allies to act as clients, not dependents. For Taiwan’s government, that means making clear that it intends to invest heavily in the country’s security.

- YouTube

The 7th annual Paris Peace Forum is getting underway, convening diplomats, academics, and private sector leaders tasked with finding solutions to mounting global crises before conflicts erupt. GZERO’s Tony Maciulis interviewed Justin Vaisse, the organization’s founder and Director General. Top of mind for Vaisse, of course, was Trump’s election and what it means for Europe.