China’s economy in trouble

- YouTube

China’s economy has averaged about 10% annual growth year over year for the past four decades. It’s undoubtedly the biggest economic success story of our lifetime, but how long can that last?

Shaun Rein, founder and managing director of the Shanghai-based China Market Research Group, sits down with Ian Bremmer on GZERO World to talk China's post-COVID recovery, Xi's crackdown on the private sector, and why the last year has turned him from a bull to a bear on China's economic outlook.

Annual GDP growth has been on a relative decline since 2010, barring a big jump coming out of the pandemic. Decades of infrastructure investment have left local governments drowning in debt. Almost three years of zero-COVID politics ground China’s economy to a halt. Youth unemployment is surging to record highs and expected to keep climbing.

At the same time, President Xi Jinping is moving China away from the pro-investment policies of his predecessors in favor of ideological and national security priorities. But public support for China’s Communist Party is starting to show cracks, especially among citizens in wealthy cities who experienced the brunt of China’s brutal zero-COVID policies.

Can communist ideology mixed with capitalist ambition sustain growth into the future? Is Xi setting up China for another 4 decades of economic success? And what do China’s citizens make of its return to socialist roots?

Watch GZERO World with Ian Bremmer every week at gzeromedia.com/gzeroworld or on US public television. Check local listings.

More from GZERO Media

- YouTube

Ian Bremmer's Quick Take: A key insight revealed by the Yemen military strike group chat: The entire Trump cabinet is saying we shouldn’t be helping the Europeans, and if we have to then they should be paying for it. It's not collective security, it’s purely transactional security.

National Security Advisor Michael Waltz speaks at the White House in Washington, DC, US, on Friday, March 7, 2025.

Chris Kleponis/Pool/Sipa USA

Washington is buzzing over a major security breach that saw the editor of The Atlantic magazine, Jeffrey Goldberg, mistakenly added to a Signal group chat that included Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, VP JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and National Security Advisor Mike Waltz. The group coordinated a war plan and sent real-time operational details about US strikes on Houthi targets in Yemen, sharing classified information on an external app without noticing that Goldberg was on the chat.

A young protester is holding a banner with a photo of Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan during the demonstration. Protests in Ankara continue into their fifth day following the arrest of Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality Mayor, Ekrem Imamoglu.
Bilal Seckin / SOPA Images via Reuters Connect

When opposition leader Ekrem Imamoglu was first elected mayor of Istanbul in 2019, Turkey’s president, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, claimed his victory was a fraud and ordered a rerun.

People visit the booth of Walmart eCommerce during the 5th China Cross-Border E-Commerce Trade Fair at Fuzhou Strait International Conference and Exhibition Center on March 18, 2025 in Fuzhou, Fujian Province of China.
Photo by Wang Dongming/China News Service/VCG

“Save money, live better” may be Walmart’s promise to consumers, but US President Donald Trump’s tariffs are making it hard to fulfill.

Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) speaks with reporters following the Senate Republicans' weekly policy lunch on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C., U.S., March 11, 2025.
REUTERS/Nathan Howard/File Photo

House Speaker Mike Johnson and Senate Majority Leader John Thune will meet on Tuesday to try to bridge the massive schism between budget reconciliation packages in the House and Senate. At stake: Donald Trump’s policy agenda.

- YouTube

Trump is reshaping America’s relationship with Europe, which has been “impacted in a permanent and structural way,” says Ian Bremmer. In this Quick Take, Ian explains what that shift means for the future of the transatlantic alliance—and for Europe.

- YouTube

How serious is Europe about really beefing up its defense and rearming? Carl Bildt, former prime minister of Sweden and co-chair of the European Council on Foreign Relations, shares his perspective on European politics from Tabiano, Italy.

- YouTube

Beneath America’s shifting economic and foreign policy lies a fundamental question: What happens when its closest allies can no longer trust it? The Economist's Zanny Minton Beddoes joins Ian Bremmer on GZERO World to discuss.