ICC arrests and Rafah invasion threats loom

​People attend a protest against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government and to call for the release of hostages kidnapped in the deadly October 7 attack on Israel by the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas, in Tel Aviv, Israel, April 27, 2024.
People attend a protest against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government and to call for the release of hostages kidnapped in the deadly October 7 attack on Israel by the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas, in Tel Aviv, Israel, April 27, 2024.
REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton

Some Israeli officials reportedly believe the International Criminal Court is preparing to issuearrest warrants for high-ranking Israeli officials and Hamas operatives. While such warrants may not ever result in a trial, they may be seen as another moral rebuke of Israel.

Neither the court nor Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s office have commented, but Bibi did warn last week against ICC interference that “would set a dangerous precedent that threatens the soldiers and officials of all democracies fighting savage terrorism …”

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken, meanwhile, is in Saudi Arabia on Monday and Tuesday for a World Economic Forum meeting, where he will discuss another cease-fire and hostage release deal for Gaza. The hope is to reach an agreement before Israel launches a ground operation in Rafah, which is expected soon unless Hamas accepts a deal.

While a cease-fire could stem hostilities, Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan says only “a credible, irreversible path to a Palestinian state” will prevent a repeat of the current situation. This echoes recent Hamas statements, but a two-state solution is a non-starter for Netanyahu.

Bibi’s other troubles. Israelis are increasingly angry about the failure to free the hostages, and dissent is growing in Netanyahu’s cabinet. Far-right ministers oppose concessions to Hamas, while moderates prioritize the hostages’ release. Meanwhile, Hezbollah launched a strike this weekend on Israeli military sites – a sign that potential for greater regional conflict remains.

More from GZERO Media

Flags of Quebec are seen on the building in Quebec City, Canada, in 2023.

Jakub Porzycki/NurPhoto via Reuters

Donald Trump’s threats to forcibly make Canada the 51st state have delivered a setback to Quebec’s separatist parties, suddenly reducing support for making Quebec an independent country, and increasing national pride.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau speaks at the Invictus Games in Vancouver on Feb. 16, 2025.
Dutch Press Photo via Reuters

With less than a month to go before he gives up his job, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau on Wednesday launched a six-year, $3.9-billion plan to design a high-speed rail line to (one day) connect Quebec City and Toronto, with speeds of up to 300 kmh and stops along the way in Montreal, Ottawa, and other cities.

beige concrete building under blue sky during daytime

President Donald Trump this week issued an executive order that would give him direct control over regulatory agencies that Congress established as independent. This would change the longstanding balance of powers and will likely be challenged as high as the US Supreme Court.

President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin shake hands as they meet in Helsinki, Finland, in July 2018.
REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque

At the end of the first month of his second presidency, Donald Trump moved toward a warm new relationship with Russia, a 180-degree pivot that created a horrifying situation for Ukraine and may undo all of the United States’ long-standing security alliances.

Ten thousand protesters gather in front of Duesseldorf Central Station to march against the AfD's upcoming afternoon rally in Duesseldorf, Germany, on Feb. 15, 2025.
Ying Tang/NurPhoto via Reuters

Amid a deep economic crisis and renewed migration concerns, the far-right party Alternative for Germany, or AfD, is poised to double its vote share in this weekend’s general elections. We talked to Eurasia Group expert Jan Techau, about how the AfD's increasing strength is transforming German politics.