Jon Lieber: What’s different about the 2022 midterms is 2024 Trump threat

US midterm elections are normally about voters punishing the party in the White House, which usually loses seats in the House and Senate, and often control of Congress. But not the one this November.

For Jon Lieber, Eurasia Group's US managing director, the big threat to American democracy in this year's midterms is that the Republican Party — now controlled by president Donald Trump — could win gubernatorial and other state-level races in key swing states with candidates who support Trump's bogus claim that the 2020 presidential election was stolen from him.

If these Trump loyalists are in place by 2024, Lieber says it could set up "a situation where he could actually steal the election."

"I know this sounds hyperbolic and kind of crazy, but it's true."

If you listen to what Trump and his top allies are saying, Lieber adds, "it's clear that this is their intention" — and "they think this is something that they could actually do" if they win those races in November.

Watch the full discussion on Top Risks 2022.