Kamala Harris narrows the enthusiasm gap. But will it last?

​U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris boards Air Force Two as she departs Westfield-Barnes Regional Airport in Westfield, Mass., U.S., July 27, 2024.
U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris boards Air Force Two as she departs Westfield-Barnes Regional Airport in Westfield, Mass., U.S., July 27, 2024.
Stephanie Scarbrough/Pool via REUTERS

Before President Joe Biden dropped out of the 2024 race, polling showed that most Democratic voters were feeling pretty meh about their presidential nominee while most Republicans were riled up about former President Donald Trump and his chances of returning to the White House.

But Vice President Kamala Harris already appears to be narrowing that enthusiasm gap, and then some.

About eight in 10 Democratic voters would be satisfied with Harris becoming the Democratic presidential nominee, according to a new AP-NORC poll that was conducted after Biden called it quits. Comparatively, an AP-NORC poll from before Biden dropping out found that only about 4 in 10 Democrats said they were satisfied with him as the Democratic nominee.

And a Gallup poll from June — even before Biden’s disastrous debate against Trump — showed that Republican voters, at 79%, were nearly twice as likely as Democrats, at 42%, to say they are pleased with their party’s nominee.

Meanwhile, recent polling suggests that Harris is also catching up with Trump in the race more generally, including in key swing states. The vice president on Wednesday also received the coveted endorsement of the United Automobile Workers, one of the most powerful unions in the country. But whether this momentum will last is a bigger question.

“Harris is obviously a better candidate than Biden was: She has unified the Democratic party, raised significant amounts of money, and is benefiting from online and grassroots enthusiasm that Biden could not muster,” says Jon Lieber, Eurasia Group’s managing director for the US.”

“That said, the polling bounce she is experiencing is likely going to fade as her honeymoon period ends, and we do not know what her ceiling of national support is.”

More from GZERO Media

Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant speaks next to prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu during a press conference in the Kirya military base in Tel Aviv, Israel , 28 October 2023.
Abir Sultan/Reuters

Gallant, who was fired by Netanyahu as defense minister last year before being reinstated two weeks later, has been deeply critical of the prime minister’s prosecution of the war in Gaza — particularly for not accepting a cease-fire deal that would bring hostages home.

UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer meeting with Italy’s Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni.

REUTERS/Phil Noble/Pool

UK Prime Minister Keir Starmermet with Italy’s Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni on Monday to learn how her hard-line tactics against irregular immigration could help him deliver his election promise to “smash the gangs” driving irregular migration to the UK.

Vice President Kamala Harris speaks on TV during a debate with her opponent, former President Donald Trump, on Sept. 10, 2024.
Jeremy Hogan/SOPA Images via Reuters

Last week’s presidential debate between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump marked the final scheduled milestone before Election Day on Nov. 5. It also bookended a summer of surprises that began with President Joe Biden’s disastrous debate performance against Trump on June 27.

- YouTube

What's the reaction on the discussions ongoing considering the possibility of Ukrainians to use long-range strike weapons? What's the reaction to Germany's decision to partly at least reimpose on their border controls? Carl Bildt, former prime minister of Sweden and co-chair of the European Council on Foreign Relations, shares his perspective on European politics from Kyiv, Ukraine.

Uncover the future of AI with a family of models built on principles of transparency. IBM Granite models are built on vast amounts of industry and domain-specific data, and they are designed to help support enterprise-level innovation and application modernization. Learn more about the benefits of IBM Granite and see how customers can use cost-efficient AI models to help drive business transformations. Get started with IBM

- YouTube

Ian Bremmer's Quick Take: The idea that former President Trump has now faced two assassination attempts "is something we should be more concerned about than we presently are," says Ian Bremmer. He explains what we should be thinking about as US political stability becomes increasingly frail.