Crisis Recovery

Many knew Putin wasn't bluffing, but not how far he'd go, says International Crisis Group’s Comfort Ero

‘The world must do better at anticipating conflicts | Global Stage | GZERO Media

People rightfully focus on conflict prevention and deterrence, but global policy lagged behind when it came to preparing for the Russian invasion.

“What surprises me is that no actor says they’re surprised by what happened. You ask yourself, what about the steps that ought to have been taken?” says Comfort Ero, president and CEO of the International Crisis Group, during a Global Stage livestream conversation hosted by GZERO in partnership with Microsoft at the Munich Security Conference.

Some argue that the original sin was perhaps not dealing with the crises in Georgia and Crimea, she adds. Moving forward, she says, NATO and the West must focus on having anticipatory policies that prevent military aggression.

Watch the full Global Stage livestream conversation “Live from Munich: Ukraine and the Global Turning Point.”

More For You

US President Donald Trump holds a bilateral meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky alongside the NATO leaders summit at the Bestepe Presidential Compound in Ankara, Turkey, on July 8, 2026.
REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst

US President Donald Trump said he would grant Ukraine a license to manufacture Patriot air-defense missiles during the NATO meeting in Turkey on Wednesday, fulfilling a longstanding request from Kyiv.

Philippine Vice President Sara Duterte arrives before the start of her impeachment trial hearing at the Senate of the Philippines in Pasay, Metro Manila, Philippines, July 7, 2026.
REUTERS/Noel Celis/Pool

The Senate trial of Vice President Sara Duterte has turned a family feud into a fight over the Philippines’ political future — and its place between the US and China.