☰
HomeLiving Beyond BordersGZERO WorldSignalIn 60 SecondsPuppet RegimeGZERO World PodcastContact UsAbout UsCareersPrivacy PolicyTerms

The Graphic Truth: Don't bet on it

October 30, 2022
Carlos Santamaria
and
Ari Winkleman
Chart comparing chances of Democrats keeping the Senate in the US midterms given by election forecasting site based on polls and a betting site.
Ari Winkleman

Will bookies be better than pollsters at predicting the results of the upcoming US midterm elections? We'll find out soon enough, but what we do know now is that bettors give the GOP better odds of both retaking the House and winning back control of the Senate. Oddly for a country crazy about sports betting, political gambling in America remains illegal for US citizens — although startup Kalshi is leading the charge for legalization. We compare how election forecasters and bookies view the chances of Democrats keeping the Senate.

Check out more coverage of the US midterms here.

This comes to you from the Signal newsletter team of GZERO Media. Sign up today.

From Your Site Articles

More from GZERO Media

Wildfires are raging in Los Angeles. So is their politicization.

A house burns as powerful winds fueling devastating wildfires in the Los Angeles area force people to evacuate, in Altadena, California, on Jan. 8, 2025.

REUTERS/David Swanson

As wildfires scorched Los Angeles for a second day on Wednesday, hurricane-strength winds and limited water supplies complicated efforts to contain the flames.

Will Turkey attack Syria’s Kurds?

Kurdish fighters from the People's Protection Units (YPG) take part in a military parade as they celebrate victory over the Islamic state, in Qamishli, Syria March 28, 2019.
REUTERS/Rodi Said

Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan threatened this week to launch attacks against Kurdish-led forces in northeastern Syria.

Lebanon tries, yet again, to elect a president

A ballot box is displayed inside the parliament building, a day ahead of Lebanon's parliament's attempt to elect a new head of state in downtown Beirut, Lebanon, January 8, 2025.
REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir

The crisis-wracked country needs a stable government in order to secure aid.

Podcast: The Top Geopolitical Risks of 2025, a live conversation with Ian Bremmer and global experts

Listen: It's officially the new year, and 2025 will bring a whole new set of challenges as governments react to the shifting policies of the incoming Trump administration, instability in the Middle East, China’s economic weakness, and a world where the global order feels increasingly tenuous. 2025 will be a year of heightened geopolitical risks and global disorder, with the world no longer aligned with the balance of power. So what should we be paying attention to, and what’s the world’s #1 concern for the year ahead? Ian Bremmer analyzes the Eurasia Group's Top Risks of 2025 report with a panel of global experts.

About UsCareers PressContact Us Privacy PolicyTerms of Use
© 2020 GZERO Media. All Rights Reserved | A Eurasia Group media company.