GZERO North
Trump anxiety again builds north of the border
President Donald J. Trump (R) meets with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau (L) in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, DC, USA, 20 June 2019.
Reuters
The prospect of a second Trump administration is worrying millions of Americans, but plenty of Canadians are feeling a similar anxiety — including those in Justin Trudeau’s government. Last week, Kirsten Hillman, Canada’s ambassador to the US, played it cool, saying the country is “ready and prepared and able” to work with either Joe Biden or Donald Trump, noting the presumptive Republican presidential nominee “doesn’t worry us.”
But Hillman’s words obscure the frantic preparations in Ottawa for a potential Republican White House. Just four months ago, Trudeau said of a potential Trump win: “It wasn't easy the first time and if there's a second time, it won't be easy either.”
The Trudeau government is all-in on a “Team Canada” approach that emphasizes the close relationship between the two countries nationally and subnationally. That means working political and industry contacts in Washington and pivotal states, both by the federal Liberals and provincial allies.
The Trump administration brought troubles for Canada – including a rocky renegotiation of the free trade deal between the two countries. Should Trump win again and make good on his promise of a protectionist agenda, Canada could find itself at the bargaining table once again.
Trump is also a severe critic of Canada’s defense spending, which he thinks is far too low. Last month, he threatened to leave NATO allies who fail to spend 2% of GDP on defense — this includes Canada — to fend for themselves. So, Canada is preparing for an anxious few months up north, and possibly, several years to follow.
In his latest Quick Take, Ian Bremmer discusses the on-again off-again ceasefire between the United States and Iran and why it has failed to hold, arguing that both sides remain locked in a fundamental disagreement over who has the leverage.
Can a war-torn Lebanon disarm Hezbollah, end Israel’s occupation of its southern territory, and reclaim control of its future? Beirut-based journalist Kim Ghattas joins Ian Bremmer on GZERO World.
As Hezbollah’s power weakens and Israel occupies parts of southern Lebanon, could the country finally reclaim its sovereignty? Or is it headed toward another war? Journalist Kim Ghattas joins Ian Bremmer on the GZERO World Podcast.
Ian Bremmer breaks down how Iran spent four decades building Hezbollah into a powerful proxy against Israel, and why the group’s uncertain future could reshape the Middle East.