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US soldier enters North Korea, US nuclear sub enters South Korean waters
North Korean and South Korean troops stand guard in the "Truce Village" of Panmunjom in the DMZ.
On Tuesday, a US soldier was snatched by North Korean authorities after he crossed the heavily fortified DMZ border from South Korea in the "truce village" of Panmunjom. We know the soldier, Private 2nd Class Travis King, was facing disciplinary action by the US military after being held in South Korea on assault charges and that he "willfully" crossed the border. What we don’t know is how Kim Jong Un will treat him, or how hard Washington will work to get him back given the bizarre circumstances. The White House said Tuesday that the Defense Department had reached out to its counterparts in Pyongyang, so the incident has – at the very least – offered Washington a rare opportunity to reach out to North Korean officials.
We’ll be watching for more information about this incident in the coming days, but don’t let the headlines distract you from the other big story from the Korean Peninsula. That, in our view, is a US nuclear-armed submarine making a port of call in South Korea for the first time in 42 years.
By deploying the sub in South Korean waters, US President Joe Biden delivers on his pledge to President Yoon Suk Yeol in exchange for Seoul not seeking to acquire homegrown nukes. In theory, this would allow America to nuke North Korea within minutes instead of hours (by launching from Guam) if Kim attacks. But it doesn't really address South Korean reservations that the US president won't give the order fast enough.
Still, the closer the weapons are, the better they serve as a deterrent for Pyongyang. And the new sub shows both Kim and Yoon that the US remains fully committed to its nuclear security umbrella for the South.
GZERO World with Ian Bremmer is returning to your screens this week, kicking off Season 9 in a summer of sweltering global tensions. The United States is celebrating its 250th birthday, a war has reshaped the Middle East, AI is forcing humanity to confront profound ethical choices, and democracies around the world are bracing for what comes next. Host Ian Bremmer is here to make sense of it all.
As America approaches its 250th anniversary, Bank of America is investing in the legacy of leadership — committing $5M to the Theodore Roosevelt Presidential Library and conserving 110 presidential portraits at the Smithsonian National Portrait Gallery, so the history of leaders who defined our nation is preserved for generations to come. Learn more here.
In his latest “ask ian,” Ian Bremmer says the US and China should use their growing engagement to address two major global challenges where cooperation could have an outsized impact: the war in Ukraine and the risks posed by artificial intelligence.
The trade bloc is also reducing its quota of tariff-free steel imports, as trade tensions mount with Beijing.