What We're Watching & What We're Ignoring

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING

Fresh violence in Kashmir – A suicide attack yesterday on a convoy carrying Indian police officers in Indian-administered northern state of Jammu and Kashmir has killed at least 42 people. The attack by the Pakistan-based terrorist group Jaish-e-Mohammed is the deadliest local attack in decades and could spark a fresh cycle of violence between India and Pakistan, who both claim the region is rightfully theirs. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi quickly pledged to retaliate, and the Indian response could include cross-border shelling or even a more daring surgical strike against militants in Pakistan. More broadly, prospects for a lasting peace agreement in Jammu and Kashmir – once believed to be more likely with the election of Imran Khan in Pakistan last year – now seem more distant again.

Donald Trump's veto pen – The House of Representatives voted this week to cut most US funding for Saudi Arabia's military operations in Yemen, setting up a potential showdown with President Trump. The resolution now moves to the Senate, which passed a similar measure last year after the Saudi government's murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi drew attention to the kingdom's destructive involvement in Yemen's civil war and resulting humanitarian crisis. If the Senate gives the green light, President Trump will have to decide whether to use the first veto of his presidency in order to protect Washington's long-standing but controversial relationship with Riyadh.

WHAT WE'RE IGNORING

The end of "The Philippines" – The famously blunt-spoken Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte wants to scrap his country's current name in favor of "Maharlika," a term that refers to the warrior class that ruled the islands before Spanish King Felipe II's explorers colonized the islands and named them for him (Felipe -> Filipinas = mind blown). The nationalistic name change idea isn't new. In the 1980s, Philippine dictator Ferdinand Marcos, whom Duterte admires, pushed the idea. But we are ignoring it because polls in the past have shown little popular interest in the idea. Plus, it takes a lot for a name change to stick. We haven't heard any one calling Czech Republic "Czechia", eSwatiniis still Swaziland to most, and you are definitely a sucker out-of-towner if you refer to New York's Triboro Bridge as "RFK Bridge."

Israeli translation corrections – Earlier this week, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin "Bibi" Netanyahu caused a stir when he told a reporter that the Middle East peace conference he was attending in Poland was actually about forming a coalition to go to war with Iran. While his office quickly softened the official translation afterwards, it appears that Bibi really did say "war." Given that Bibi has always been extremely, and even comically, hawkish on Iran, we are ignoring the revised translation

More from GZERO Media

- YouTube

In a GZERO Global Stage discussion at the 7th annual Paris Peace Forum, Dr. Comfort Ero, President and CEO of the International Crisis Group, shed light on the increasing elusiveness of global peace amid rising conflicts worldwide. She pointed out a "crisis of peacemaking," noting that comprehensive peace processes and settlements have become rare, with the last significant one being in Colombia in 2016.

- YouTube

Today, around 3.3 billion people live in countries spending more on debt than on essential services like education and healthcare, and governments worldwide are struggling to pay these debts. Rebeca Grynspan, secretary-general of the UN Conference on Trade and Development, warns of looming trade wars and faltering financial systems designed to reduce global poverty and promote development. What will it take to get countries back on track? Grynspan shares insights on this, highlighting the roles of the UN General Assembly and the International Monetary Fund in a Global Stage interview with GZERO’s Tony Maciulis on the sidelines of the 7th annual Paris Peace Forum.

Stephen Miller waves from the stage during a Trump campaign rally in Detroit, Michigan, on October 18, 2024.
REUTERS/Brian Snyder

Thomas D. Homan, Elise Stefanik, and Lee Zeldin have been picked for Trump 2.0, while Stephen Miller, Marco Rubio, and Michael Waltz are reportedly set to be nominated.

Global risks are mounting as the next US President and new Congress prepare to navigate a demanding geopolitical agenda, from international trade to energy security and strategic alliances. Corporates and investors are assessing these potential risks and positioning themselves to safeguard growth, maintain flexibility in operations, and hedge against anticipated volatility. Explore how election implications are shaping strategies and priorities with RBC Capital Markets’ Beyond the Ballot.

Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party head Shigeru Ishiba (R, front) is formally inaugurated as prime minister in a ceremony with Emperor Naruhito (L) at the Imperial Palace in Tokyo on Nov. 11, 2024.
Pool photo/Kyodo

Shigeru Ishiba skirts defeat, but now faces a slew of economic and geopolitical challenges.

Russia's President Vladimir Putin talks to U.S. President Donald Trump during their bilateral meeting at the G20 summit in Hamburg, Germany July 7, 2017.
REUTERS/Carlos Barria

Trump reportedly warned Putin not to escalate the war in Ukraine while reminding him of the US military’s significant presence in Europe.

Taiwan's then-Vice President William Lai at a news conference in Taipei, in January 2023.

Jameson Wu/EYEPRESS via Reuters

Taiwan’s leaders know that President-elect Donald Trump expects US allies to act as clients, not dependents. For Taiwan’s government, that means making clear that it intends to invest heavily in the country’s security.

- YouTube

The 7th annual Paris Peace Forum is getting underway, convening diplomats, academics, and private sector leaders tasked with finding solutions to mounting global crises before conflicts erupt. GZERO’s Tony Maciulis interviewed Justin Vaisse, the organization’s founder and Director General. Top of mind for Vaisse, of course, was Trump’s election and what it means for Europe.