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​Servicemen of the 148th Separate Artillery Zhytomyr Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine fire a Caesar self-propelled howitzer towards Russian troops at a position on the front line, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, near the frontline town of Pokrovsk in Donetsk region, Ukraine November 23, 2025.
What We're Watching

What We’re Watching: Russia-Ukraine peace deal, Rough weekend for Brazil, Mass school abductions in Nigeria

After facing backlash that the US’s first 28-point peace deal was too friendly towards Russia, American and Ukrainian negotiators drafted a new 19-point plan on Monday.

Last Thursday, Brazil’s Supreme Court delivered a historic verdict: Jair Bolsonaro, the far-right former president who tried to overturn the 2022 election, was convicted along with seven close allies for conspiring against democracy and plotting to assassinate his rivals, including President Lula. Bolsonaro was sentenced to 27 years in prison and barred from office until 2060. At 70, he will likely spend his remaining years behind bars.
by ian bremmer

Despite conviction, Bolsonaro’s shadow looms over Brazilian politics

Last Thursday, Brazil’s Supreme Court delivered a historic verdict: Jair Bolsonaro, the far-right former president who tried to overturn the 2022 election.

​Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, son of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, speaks during a press conference, after Brazil's Supreme Court issued a house arrest order for his father, in Brasilia, Brazil, August 5, 2025.
Analysis

Bolsonaro’s trial opens as Brazil braces for fallout

Brazil’s Supreme Court on Tuesday began the final phase of the historic trial of former president Jair Bolsonaro, accused of plotting a coup to cling to power after losing the 2022 election.

​ Jair Bolsonaro, Donald Trump, and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.
Analysis

Why Trump’s tariffs on Brazil will backfire

US-Brazil relations have been heating up for a bit, but President Donald Trump ratcheted up the temperature on the Lula administration a week ago when he announced that the United States would slap a 50% tariff on all Brazilian imports effective Aug 1.

​Brazil's former president Jair Bolsonaro during a protest where he called his supporters to gather, as police investigate him and his cabinet for allegedly plotting a coup after the 2022 election, in Sao Paulo, Brazil, February 25, 2024.
What We're Watching

Brazil’s former president shows he still has clout

In a deeply polarized country, Brazil’s firebrand former rightwing president Jair Bolsonaro is still immensely popular.

​Brazil's President Jair Bolsonaro attends an Air Force ceremony in Brasilia, Brazil January 4, 2019.
What We're Watching

Police seize Bolsonaro’s passport, arrest top aides over alleged coup

Brazilian authorities on Thursday named former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro a target of their inquiry into an alleged coup to keep him in power following his 2022 election loss.

Premature newborns receive treatment after being transferred from Al-Shifa Hospital to Al-Emarati Hospital in Rafah, south of the Gaza Strip.
Hard Numbers

Hard Numbers: Gaza newborns evacuated, Old Joe keeps a low pro, Shakira shakes tax rap, Bolsonaro’s whale of a harassment charge, a long overdue story from Minnesota

28: On Monday, 28 critically ill premature babies previously evacuated from Al Shifa Hospital in the Gaza Strip were transferred to Egypt for ongoing care.

 Former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro.
News

Bolsonaro goes on trial

A powerful and immensely popular former right-wing American president went on trial Thursday, and it’s not Donald Trump. Jair Bolsonaro, who led Brazil from 2018 until he narrowly lost to his left-wing nemesis “Lula” da Silva in 2022, faces charges that he unfairly sought to sway voters in that election with baseless claims about problems with the country’s voting system.

Former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro leaves his home following a search operation in Brasilia.
News

Bolsonaro’s home raided over alleged COVID vax fraud

We’re waiting to see what charges are ultimately leveled at Bolsonaro.