Will Boris Johnson be the next UK Prime Minister?
He is certainly odds-on-favorite. And the fact that he is a hard line Brexiteer and a very charismatic one, especially after Nigel Farage's Brexit party did particularly well in the European elections, means there are a lot of Tories that want to keep the Conservative Party together that are going end up supporting him. It is his to lose. He is very capable though of losing it.
How viable is Trump's Middle East peace plan?
Well, I mean, if you want to make a geopolitical bet, betting that the Israel Palestine peace plan will never happen has been a pretty good one over the last few decades. But let's keep in mind that Middle East peace is not a high priority for most actors in the Middle East right now. Their focus is on things like Iran and Yemen and Syria and ISIS and al-Qaeda, which means that their willingness to work with the Israelis and the Trump administration - a lot higher than it used to be. Plus Trump's best relations in the world are actually with the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Israel. So I actually think that at least the workshop is likely to get more credibility and more money than anyone would have expected. So more movement than you might have thought and that's all I had time for!
